I have written with @pdmsero on Sweden as the Covid counterfactual – "Live free and die". https://thecritic.co.uk/live-free-and-die-swedens-coronavirus-experience/">https://thecritic.co.uk/live-free...
We describe what we know now about Covid – that it is extremely deadly – but acknowledge that Sweden& #39;s experience seems out of kilter with this, since Sweden& #39;s lockdown measures were far less strict than anywhere else& #39;s.
In Sweden we observe a country that might have the worst of both worlds, at least from a mortality perspective: an as-yet uncontrolled outbreak that nonetheless hasn& #39;t infected nearly enough people to achieve "herd immunity", thanks to voluntary social distancing.