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#TIGHTENING
Nate Silver
NateSilver538
The race is not tightening if you use any sort of robust methodology or look at the better polling. The tightening is almost entirely confined to a group of 3
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John Scotus
John_Scotus
Is the race tightening? Here is the current state of play according to RCP, if the polls are to be believed and there are no ties: Biden 357-Trump 181. However,
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{Highest Quality} R'eka
Kitsune86
Previous failures are not predictors of future outcomes. I need to remind myself of that some days.I’ll be kind to myself we can do this. This can be done Last
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Alex Andreou
sturdyAlex
Today is exactly 14 days since Greece went into a lockdown much stricter than UK. Many rebuked it as premature, illiberal, precipitous, draconian and something the British - wot, wot
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Dave
djr8519
Brief thread on the implications of the U.S. fiscal impasse and the dollar.Markets are probably underestimating the scale of the fiscal tightening taking place in the U.S. Since the expiration
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JamesSmithRF
JamesSmithRF
.@bankofengland’s MPC on hold today, as expected, with Bank Rate remaining at historic lows of 0.1% and the stock asset purchases maintained at £895bn (*but* with Andy Haldane voting to
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David Chapman
davidchapman141
THREAD:Why should we believe the polls are wrong again?1. All the polls that were right in 2016 show a different race than the polls that failed in 2016. Democracy Institute,
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El Cuento de Roma - The Tale of Rome
west4east
Update. April 14, 2020. The day Ukraine put out the Chernobyl forest fire. #Coronavirus map. Spain is going back to work, and so are others in Europe. India prolongues its
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G. Elliott Morris
gelliottmorris
Trump can afford to lose 36 electoral votes from his 2016 total and still hold on to the White House. But Biden currently leads in polls of all 6 of
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𝓢𝓪𝓻𝓪𝓱
_usedtothislove
i had an anxiety attack five years ago and i still get anxious sometimes so to make sure it doesn’t get to that but this is what helps me: what
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Tom Scocca
tomscocca
Harvard's choice to do belt-tightening while sitting on a $41 billion endowment nicely shows how austerity is fundamentally a ritual performance meant to overwrite a moral narrative onto the set
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Nate Silver
NateSilver538
Fundamentally, the "fundamentals" are improving for Trump. * The economy is getting better, although that could be threatened by Congressional inaction. * COVID cases are going down, although that could
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🌟 Ezereal 🌟
So_Ethereal
Till now I tried to interact with as many people as possible and many praised me for doing that but it gets increasingly difficult...and when I try to answer dozens
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William Turton
WilliamTurton
NEW: ‘Bro Culture’ at Camera Maker Verkada Pushed Profits, PartiesThis story is based on interviews with eight current Verkada employees and 15 former employees.(w/ @mcbridesg @rj_gallagher @BrodyFord_)https://www.bloomberg.com/news/a
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vera
bokkuns
Keiji had whispered them, soft and gentle in the dark room, “Bokuto-san,” he whispers against chapped lips and his eyes drift down to them before looking back at golden eyes.
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PollWatch
PollWatch2020
1) Even with poll tightening for Election Day Eve 2016, the following overestimated the Dem:Econ/YouGov: Clinton +4%ABC/WP: Clinton +3Fox News Clinton +4NBC News/WSJ: Clinton +5Monmouth: +6CBS News: Clin+4Reuters: Clin+5Average: Clinton
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