David Chapman, Discover and Read the Best of Twitter Threads by @davidchapman141

David Chapman

davidchapman141

Thread on my election prediction:My prediction is based solely on history and historical trends.The biggest issue in the campaign is Covid-19.There has been 11 Incumbents to face a pandemic during

THREAD: What the Media, Democrats, @JoeBiden & @FrankLuntz will never understand.The riots & crime is THE no. 1 issue of the election. Not Covid. I live in Moline, IL, in

THREAD: signs Biden is losing.- The DNC. The Democrats were begging people to vote.- Hillary Clinton Advised Biden not to concede.- Biden gave an economic Speech back in July that

THREAD:Why should we believe the polls are wrong again?1. All the polls that were right in 2016 show a different race than the polls that failed in 2016. Democracy Institute,

THREAD: Has there ever been a recession, pandemic, and riots in an election year. Yes! Twice. And 4 times we've seen a pandemic & recession in an election year.In 1820,

THREAD: Election analysis based on Historical trends, not polls. Let's start with Incumbent strength. In 1976, Ford's (R) Approval among republicans was 68% (Gallup). In 1980, Carter's (D) Approval among