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#SuperSpreading
Ben Cowling
bencowling88
Our work on superspreading has just been published https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1092-0, the preprint was posted a few months ago.https://twitter.com/bencowling88/status/1270549539154309121 Work done with @DillonCAdam @gmleungh
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Dr Zoë Hyde
DrZoeHyde
(1/4) Study of #COVID19 in Hong Kong from January to April, showing that the epidemic was characterised by superspreading events. Just 19% of infections were responsible for 80% of secondary
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Kai Kupferschmidt
kakape
Another new and really interesting paper on #SarsCoV2 clusters and superspreading by @gmleunghku, @bencowling88 and others: “we estimated that approximately 20% of cases were responsible for 80% of all #SarsCoV2
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Jose-Luis Jimenez
jljcolorado
An excellent article summarizing what we know about aerosol transmission, and the fact that it is likely driving the pandemic thru superspreading events: https://documentcloud.adobe.com/link/review?uri=urn%3Aaaid%3Ascds%3AUS%3Af2f0a4e1-6939
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Orla Hegarty
Orla_Hegarty
#NursingHomes important to know #Covid19 builds up & spreads like cigarette smoke; so closed windows in cold weather is making conditions high-risk for super spread- it can be easily mitigated
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Bob Wachter
Bob_Wachter
I've flown a few times based on my perception of low – but non-zero – risk. This new report of a big outbreak on a 7-hour Irish flight https://tinyurl.com/y4fs2y7f doesn't
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Christian Althaus
C_Althaus
There is increasing interest in superspreading for COVID-19, not least due to an excellent article by @kakape on the topic 1/9https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/why-do-some-covid-19-patients-infect-many-others-whereas-most-don-t-spread
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Dr Emma Hodcroft
firefoxx66
1/ #SARSCoV2 #COVID19 transmission isn't equal: some cases transmit much more than others. We know that close, crowded, poor ventilated places (esp w loud talking/singing) link to superspreader events.Minimising these
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Dr. Tom Frieden
DrTomFrieden
In the 1918 pandemic, in many places, the second wave was deadlier than the first. Sadly, this looks likely for Covid. India's challenges may be replicated in many countries. We
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Adam Kucharski
AdamJKucharski
I'm getting asked more about the 'k' parameter that describes variation in the reproduction number, R (i.e. describes superspreading). But what does this parameter actually mean? A short statistical thread...
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Adam Kucharski
AdamJKucharski
New analysis of sequence data suggests the current US COVID-19 outbreak sparked in mid-Feb. As well as providing insights how the epidemic started, I think this has some important implications
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Kai Kupferschmidt
kakape
Promised to tweet out a few more thoughts from my reporting on #covid19 clustering and dispersion factor k. So here goes:https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1262876041237991424 Quick recap first: Reproduction number R is an average.
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Adam Kucharski
AdamJKucharski
A common criticism of population-based epidemic models is that they don't account for individual-level variation in transmission (i.e. superspreading events). But how much of a problem is this? 1/ For
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Andrew Lee
andrewleedr
For public health & infectious disease specialists, the tale of "Typhoid Mary" is legendary. Mary, a cook in New York, had typhoid and over several decades managed to infect at
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Richard Nicholl
rtrnicholl
Prediction: the government will continue to say people aren't following the rules, rather than confront the reality that the rules are inadequate and founded on an incorrect understanding of the
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Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston @/#COVIDisAirborne
jmcrookston
Singing and coughing might create infectious SARS2 aerosols you say? How could we EVER have knownFrom 1996 Sepkowitz "How contagious is tuberculosis" (TB) I like this article because it reminds
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