#Estimates

Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺

fascinatorfun

The COVID-19 Coronavirus Disease May Be Twice As Contagious As We ThoughtBad news if true, but explains a lot.“The new study, published in the Emerging Infectious Diseases journal, shifts the

Ahmed

ahmedikram_

There's a lot of talk regarding the 18th amendment and how health and other matters are a provincial subject. This is true but here are a few things to keep

JohannesBorgen

jeuasommenulle

Last Friday, Macron floated the idea of a new general lockdown in France. Ouch. And because I’m fed up with reading so much garbage and contradictory stuff on Covid, I

Gregory Brew

gbrew24

So here are my thoughts, for what they're worth.Two weeks ago, prices were held up by hopes of an OPEC+ deal. There was still storage, talks of a bailout, TRC

Michael Del Moro

MikeDelMoro

The internal WH memos reported in the NY Times and obtained by Axios compared to what was said publicly:This one was from the day before the President said publicly that

Chad Loder

chadloder

Why does @AlexBerenson continue to spread dangerous and inaccurate information about COVID19?He seems so invested in his reputation as a contrarian that he’s giving out bad info. Chasing clout at

Stephen Wade

StephenWadeAP

1 To understand the Olympics, understand this. The International Olympic Committee is a sports business. Like NFL, NBA, it lives off selling broadcast rights. This is source of almost 75%

John Roberts

john_actuary

The latest admission for England has topped 300 today, and again a question raised is are these "WITH" COVID or "FROM" COVID? Just like yesterday's analysis of deaths, let's dig

Eastman lost NE-02

_Jason_Dean_

Since we are discussing voting records, let’s examine 3 big votes in Senator Markey’s career.First off, his vote for the War in Iraq. (1/n)https://twitter.com/aaronnarraph/status/1298086736854016000 In 2003, Markey broke with 2/3rds

Carl T. Bergstrom

CT_Bergstrom

1. Models have their strength and weaknesses. It's valuable to understand both. While the @IHME_UW model has certain advantages over other approaches, I want to focus here on a disadvantage,

Jamie Woodhouse

JamieWoodhouse

~3.2 million people may now have #COVID19 ~4.7% or 1 in 21. ~10% in LondonAssume: 2,822 dead (hosp +20%); IFR 1%; Adj. days to death ~18So ~282k were infected

Jeff Dorman, CFA

jdorman81

[Thread]: A collection of thoughts on crypto, stocks, fixed income... and why "not being bullish" doesn't mean you have to be bearish.$BTC $SPY $JNK 1) Stocks are VERY expensive. From

Ben

PatternProfits

$RVLV $RVLV volume run rate into new highs +632% $RVLV analyst price target revisions...BTIG $50 -> $61CS $58 -> $64MS $45 -> $49Piper $53 ->

Andy Slavitt 🇺🇸💉

ASlavitt

Currently experts expect over 1 million deaths in the U.S. since the virus was not contained & we cannot even test for it. This will be recorded as a major

Andrew Althouse

ADAlthousePhD

After last week’s thread on efficacy stopping in RCT’s explaining that i) trials that stop early for efficacy tend to slightly overestimate treatment effect but ii) this does not mean

OR Senate Democrats

ORSenDemocrats

The SCOTUS decision is not only wrong- it's dangerous.The most affected individuals are young, low-income and people of color. Your boss' personal opinion should not determine your access to birth