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John Roberts

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A summary of recent weeks' VoC/VuI data, delayed from yesterday, (first by the govt, and then by a laptop under repair).You can see how B.1.617.2 has come from nowhere to

A paper for SAGE released yesterday analyses hospital admissions post vaccination. Reinforcing the point that one dose does not give full protection, 400 people entered hospital and subsequently died who

The latest ONS infection survey shows dramatic falls across the UK, with England falling by over 40% and Wales by 50% in just one week. (Data is to 24th April.)E

New data from PHE suggests 10,400 deaths have been saved by the vaccine up to the end of March, using a 31 day lag between vaccination and a mortality endpoint.

A summary of some key points from @ICNARC's latest weekly update on COVID patients in ICU, on behalf of @ActuaryByDay and @COVID19actuary. New admissions have now risen to 3129 since

A review of the latest COVID-19 intensive care report from @ICNARC, on behalf of @COVID19actuary and @ActuaryByDay. It covers 2,350 admissions from 1st Sep to 29th Oct, with 995 in

The interim report of Round 6 of @imperialcollege's #REACT study makes grim reading. It estimates 96,000 new infections a day, with an R of 1.56, and doubling every 9 days.

I'm uncomfortable with comparisons with the 1st wave - there's an implication that as long as numbers are lower, everything's OK, which I disagree with. But with numbers in the

With COVID occupancy increasing, last week I compared the regional position against the last April's peak. We're still well below, but rising quickly in the North. In the NW the

A surprising fact from the @ONS last week. The number of people aged 99 rose by over 60% last year, with increases for the surrounding ages all in single figures.

The latest admission for England has topped 300 today, and again a question raised is are these "WITH" COVID or "FROM" COVID? Just like yesterday's analysis of deaths, let's dig

An excellent article from @FT on the drivers behind rising infections and falling mortality, highlighting the improvement in hospitals. I've been reporting on this trend for some time now, and