#Ergodicity

Luca Dellanna

DellAnnaLuca

ERGODICITY AND THE PANDEMICInspired by the quoted tweet below, let's see other failures of failing to understand (non-)ergodicity in this pandemic(thread; 1/N)https://twitter.com/ole_b_peters/status/1245383951377674241?s=20 2/ First, a definition

Mostly Borrowed Ideas

borrowed_ideas

1/7 Thread: Ergodicity Let’s play a game. Assume you have $100. We’ll flip a coin 100 times. Your wealth will be +50% for each Heads, and -40% for Tails. Wanna

Taylor Pearson

TaylorPearsonMe

For my next trick, I will now attempt to summarize @ole_b_peters very insightful paper in @nature : The Ergodicity Problem in EconomicsAt the risk of being hyperbolic, I think it

Nacho Oliveras

NachoOliveras

I was thinking recently that the inventor of the modern novel, Cervantes, was an Italianphile and he lived in Naples for more than 2 years. He used the word ‘Novela’

Alex Kontorovich

AlexKontorovich

Triple product L-functions arise naturally in (at least) the following two ways:1) (Arithmetic) Quantum Unique Ergodicity (AQUE)2) Langlands functoriality for GL(2)xGL(2)Let's first talk about AQUE (for which Lindenstrauss won a

Mark Kirstein

nonergodicMark

If the book @EconTalker is writing on decision-making and data contains any decision theories imho it must include #Ergodicity Economics. Looking forward.http://www.econtalk.org/john-kay-and-mervyn-king-on-radical-uncertainty/ This might in

Luca Dellanna

DellAnnaLuca

Conditional on our civilization surviving another 100 years, there will be things that today we take granted that will seem dumb stupid:- Lack of skin in the game- Binary education

Simon DeDeo

SimonDeDeo

Great paper by Douven on IBE (vs Bayesianism). An ergodicity argument against Bayes à la @ole_b_peters and @nntaleb—Bayes may be "optimal", but only because it does well on exponentially unlikely

max arb

max_arbitrage

1/ I don't think people fully understand the problem of running a small biz. You need to be able to see further than your employees - that's what you are

10-K Diver

10kdiver

4) The approach is easiest to understand with an example. I'll keep it as realistic as possible: Imagine that you walk into an antique store one day. Due to the

10-K Diver

10kdiver

1) Get a cup of coffee. In this thread, I'm going to walk you through "The Kelly Criterion". 2) In 1956, John Kelly published a paper titled "A New Interpretation

Sizhao Yang

zaoyang

Startups (founders + employees) work 10 year with below market salary hoping for equity value. With 43.4% capital gains, in California, that is 56.4% tax. Estate tax takes 40%. Spend

Nacho Oliveras

NachoOliveras

Here I am at #RWRI13.Day 1, arrived just in time, so I couldn't grab a front seat.@NonMeek will be happy to learn that his latest Offshore mini-book is in the

Gurwinder

G_S_Bhogal

MEGATHREAD TIME: In 40 tweets I will describe 40 powerful concepts for understanding the world. Some are complex so forgive me for oversimplifying, but the main purpose is to incite

🩸THE 𝕮𝖚𝖑𝖙𝖘𝖚𝖑𝖙𝖆𝖓𝖙🩸

GRITCULT

thread of threads of disturbing ; graphs and demographicsand things you may not want to see -https://twitter.com/GRITCULT/status/983515403338076160 -https://twitter.com/GRITCULT/status/970560624282529792 https://twitter.com/GRITCULT/status/