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PollWatch
PollWatch2020
1) Even with poll tightening for Election Day Eve 2016, the following overestimated the Dem:Econ/YouGov: Clinton +4%ABC/WP: Clinton +3Fox News Clinton +4NBC News/WSJ: Clinton +5Monmouth: +6CBS News: Clin+4Reuters: Clin+5Average: Clinton
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Helen Armstrong
HelenArmstrong5
[thread] I've done a deep dive into polling data comparing 2016 Trump, Clinton predicted margin of victory in key states and the final result. Then, I looked at 2020 Trump,
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Jackson Bryman
kilometerbryman
Take a look at almost any state where Clinton underperformed Obama and you'll see that her numbers dropped more than Trump's numbers gained. MI -- Trump gained from 45 to
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HAWKEYE
HawkeyeYashua
#ClintonFoundation #Clinton #SaveOurChildren The Clinton Foundation Unmasked: The Horror in Haiti Part 1 #ClintonFoundation #Clinton #SaveOurChildren The Clinton Foundation Unmasked: The Horror in Haiti Part 2 #ClintonFoundation #Clinton #S
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David BakerTextTrump88022⭐️In⭐️Like⭐️Flynn
IWasHrren
What the Benghazi attack taught me about Hillary ClintonU.S. law requires sec.of state ensure all personnel assigned to post, be located at 1 site. Only the secretary can issue waiver.
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PollWatch
PollWatch2020
1) How much were the polls skewed toward Democrats in 2016? This compares final Real Clear Politics averages against results for 11 Battleground States of NC, FL, AZ, MN, WI,
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Edgar Reed
ReedForecasts
People compare 2020 to 2016 polls but miss the big picture. Here's 2016 vs. 2020 polling avg in key states.PAClinton 46.3%, Trump 42.4%Biden 49.6%, Trump 44.9%MIClinton 44.5%, Trump 40.4%Biden 49.7%,
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Bill Scher
billscher
For those asking if the polls can be wrong and Trump can still win, like in 2016, my response is:The 2016 polls did NOT miss the Trump surge. In the
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Ivan Pentchoukov
IvanPentchoukov
NEWS: Google gets subpoena for the mystery Clinton-tied CarterHeavyIndustries@Gmail.com account. Notably, Judicial Watch is asking for emails from two accounts with slightly different spellings. There has been quite a bit
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Nucleus
Nucleus76
@realDonaldTrump Let's get to it. Diving into the Clinton's money trail, foundations/charities, corruption & deaths. You decide!!! @realDonaldTrump Let's get to it. Diving into the Clinton's money trail, foundations/char
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David Manel
DavidManel
Fascinating pattern Miami-Dade & many Texas counties '16 to'20: Turnout substantially increasesTrump raw vote substantially increasesBiden matches Clinton's raw votes- Close to 100% of "new" voters seemingly vote T
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wideofthepost
wideofthepost
18-34Biden 44%Trump 44%Other 9%https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1248251800077156353 For context, a late March 2016 Monmouth poll had:All reg'd votersClinton 48%Trump 38%Other 2%18-34Clinton 53% ⇠ (+23)Trump 30%Other 2%Mid June 2016:All reg
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Megan McArdle
asymmetricinfo
For Trump supporting friends who think I'm overdiscounting his chances of winning next month-- "You said the same thing about Clinton"... well, first of all, I was actually less bullish
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🇺🇸 𝟜𝟘ℍ𝕖𝕒𝕕 🇺🇸 ⭐⭐⭐ 🇺🇸
40_head
1. Shadow Government you say? Also called the 7th floor group? Look what I found.Confirmation that #1 the Shadow Government DOES in fact exist. And, #2, it's a group of
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Patrick Ruffini
PatrickRuffini
The pre-election CCES is out, the largest and highest quality of the online samples we'll see with 51K LVs.Biden 51Trump 43White Non-College: Trump 57, Biden 38White College: Biden 58, Trump
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Eddie Zipperer
EddieZipperer
RCP average shows Biden’s “lead” falling to 3.7.On this day in 2016, Clinton’s “lead” was at 6.2. RCP average shows Biden’s “lead” in Florida at 1.6.On this day in 2016,
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