Toggle navigation
TWText.com
TWText.com
faq
Contact US
Follow US
Natalie E. Dean, PhD
nataliexdean
THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST: There are more new confirmed cases each day in the US than at any time during the earlier April peak. But is it really meaningful to
Read more
THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST:What does it mean that the median age of new cases is dropping in some areas? I see three possible explanations, not all good. A thread on
Read more
Did you know that there is no official source for case counts broken out by age AND state? CDC reports only national data. And good luck trying to assemble this
Read more
Two interesting examples of how randomized controlled trials could build evidence for policy decisions - whether to offer alternative housing for isolation, and re-opening schools. Useful to start thinking now
Read more
For big, difficult problems, we need big, creative solutions.A few highlights from this great read on South Korea’s #coronavirus strategy. A useful template for other countries.1/8https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/coronavirus-cases-
Read more
Why don't we have a vaccine for SARS? MERS? HIV? These viruses have been around longer than SARS-CoV-2. A mini-thread to provide some perspective and even a little dose of
Read more
This preprint on SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics was a great read. The discussion about heterogeneity often focuses on numbers of contacts, but that always felt incomplete to me. As much as
Read more
Science is our exit strategy. Driving case numbers low buys us important time to develop, test, and deploy vaccines, but there are many other important reasons to slow transmission.A thread
Read more
Early results from a representative household-based survey in Indiana. 4600 participants. 1.7% PCR positive + 1.1% seropositive = 2.8% with active/prior infection. Estimated 11x infections as reported. IFR = 0.6%.
Read more
Peter Piot: “Many people think COVID-19 kills 1% of patients, and the rest get away with some flulike symptoms. But the story gets more complicated. Many people will be left
Read more
Seeing papers make the rounds that the herd immunity threshold may be much lower than the rough approximation 1-1/R0. Maybe, but let's slow down a minute.#1. There is still way
Read more
1/6 In Sweden, they claim that 26% of Stockholm will have been infected with coronavirus by May 1st. This is based on their own modeling. Flagging a few reasons why
Read more
‹
1
2
3
4
›