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Reading Amazon reviews of first aid products (specifically skin repair) and crossindexing score, date and country of origin to see when FDA quietly banned stuff that works. Packaging doesn't change

Determining correct health policy on a mass scale under conditions of extreme threat and even greater uncertainty is a wicked problem. One of the best ways to cope with this

This seems important, and there's a related point that I've only seen mentioned once, in a comment thread on an econ blog.Discussion of R0 tends to treat it as a

I really want this to be true -- I had that vicious bronchitis in January -- but I really doubt it.I also don't want it to be true, because I

It literally is what happened there.https://twitter.com/davekarpf/status/1248785615149305858 Amazing thread, dude accuses Stephens of autopiloting ideology in the face of the facts...while autopiloting ideology in the face of the facts. I guess

We're going to start seeing a lot more Monday-morning quarterbacking like this as projections appear to fall. But this is a mathematical illusion. 1/https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/coronavirus-pandemic-ihme-model-revisions-explanation/ Earl

Difference between SF and NYC is beyond 'stark' and well into 'bizarre'. Urgently need to know what's going on here.https://twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1247722428702158848 Update: The answer is obvious to everyone, it's <

I said recently that it's an awful shame the SNAFU principle isn't part of the basic rationalist tookit, particularly right now. Discussion of it on the web is tragically scarce,

Reminder that the single most damaging factor in the US during the current crisis was FDA zealously carrying out long-standing policy. This paralyzed our ability to test for the virus