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🇨🇦 Bill Comeau Crush the Curve 📉
Billius27
There's an important #vaccine threshold you may not be aware of. This thread will give you a primer on "Critical Vaccine Coverage". Call it CVC.CVC is the coverage needed to
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What I think needs to be done to manage a third wave1. Act now2. Group the Toronto-centred megaplex into one super-region and lock it down3. Limit travel out of regions
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Thoughts on dosing:- Do 2 doses provide more protection than 1 dose? Of course- Are there people who need 2 dose protection faster than others? Likely- Will the interval remain
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Let me try and convert the NACI guidance on the Astra Zeneca #vaccine to something understandable. I took the worst case of 1 blood clot (VITT) case per 100,000 and
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Breaking: 4505 new cases for Ontario. More after 10am. Remember, when cases surge there can be volatile daily case reports and corrections. Public Health is very busy in some regions.
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Let's be clear why Rt is declining like this. It wouldn't be happening without 31% of the eligible popn having a 1st dose. Vaccinations are the main driver. They were
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Thoughtful on schools from a public health insider. Why high community transmission is key:"As cases increase, contact tracing is going to go the way of the dodo again. This includes
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It's official. As an independent, who has voted for all parties over the years, I now vow to never vote PC again in my life. They have done too much
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About targeted #Covid19 restrictions and "fairness".When we zero in on a small population like some regions, the odds of seeing a particular type of outbreak in a particular type of
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Thread . This week I believe there may be more public data and rationale to support the CMOH's "plateau" opinion although there's still a LOT of uncertainty. #Covid19 #Covid19OntarioMore https://twitter.com/Billius27/statu
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Thread: 1. Why I have resisted simple test volume adjustments for Ontario's new case curve. It's the fallacy of aggregate assumptions. We know more tests generally means more cases, ALL
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Victoria Aus shows it is possible to do what we have discussed for Ontario over past months.1. The state imposed targeted restrictions, highest in the major city Melbourne. This was
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