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Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)
IHME_UW
Thanks to more data and better models, our COVID-19 hospital planning tool is becoming more accurate. Learn more http://ms.spr.ly/6016Teq3p In our latest update, we now estimate fewer total deaths (81,766)
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Jeff Kemp
jkempcpa
Going over this new modeling & looking at the Southeast. SC, NC and TN is looking a lot better and we may have it mostly whipped - for now -by
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Moni
CraftyMoni
This is super interesting, if you are into statistics. If this website is correct, Oregon is going to be OK (as far as medical resources are concerned) if we continue
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Anthony Costello
globalhlthtwit
The respected Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in University of Washington, advisers to WHO, predict 66,314 deaths in the UK by early August. http://www.healthdata.org/ Their COVID19 projections of total
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Zack Goldman, wearing a mask
ThatDamnYank
I know the IHME data has myriad issues (best-case distancing assumed, inflated ICU/ventilator figures in some states, etc.) but can someone explain to me how it squares with Newsom's claim
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Ben Shapiro
benshapiro
Fascinating information here from IMHE on why their models changed in terms of medical resources required and cumulative deaths.http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates This in particular: On lowered estimates of hospital resource usage: Here
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Alex Hernandez 🇺🇸
ahernandez85b
WIth today's model update, Virginia's peak hospital resource use has moved from May 20 ALL THE WAY FORWARD TO April 20THAT'S ONE HELL OF A CHANGEICU beds needed went from
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tommy.
toozurnt
PLEASE FUCKING LISTEN AND JUST STAY HOME. California has like ~3 MORE WEEKS before we hit 0 deaths a day. LESS TIME THAN OTHER STATES. please don’t FUCKING go to
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Dr. Robert Rohde
RARohde
In the international edition of "the IHME COVID-19 death estimates are kind of unstable", we note that the projected number of deaths in the UK was reduced by 44% over
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Ned Nikolov, Ph.D.
NikolovScience
The IHME #COVID19 Model projections (that the White House relies upon) had yet another massive DOWNWARD revision yesterday (Apr. 10). This slide compares projected US Hospital Resource Use between two
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Steven Dennis
StevenTDennis
The IHME lowered estimate of 60,000 U.S. COVID-19 deaths assumes that social distancing measures continue ***until the end of May.***They aren't based on reopening the economy now.This very important tidbit
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Dillon Richards
KOCODillon
"We are seeing tremendous evidence right now that our social distancing, all of my executive orders, are working. We are flattening the curve in Oklahoma," Gov. Kevin Stitt says."It is
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Artem Petakov
artemon
Does the post-peak IHME model seem too optimistic to anyone else? http://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/new-yorkWhen I look at countries like Italy and Spain, none of them just neatly go down after peak like
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Ned Nikolov, Ph.D.
NikolovScience
The #COVID19 hysteria started as a result of dire model "projections" and is still mostly fueled by such predictions (see Dr. Fauci: https://twitter.com/i/status/1244275909944885248).However, reported hospitalizations (https://covidtracking
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Ben Shapiro
benshapiro
In some excellent news, the IMHE model has now dramatically downgraded its predictions of death AGAIN. They've moved the peak forward, to April 12, and they've significantly lowered the size
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Atul Gawande
Atul_Gawande
I'm very worried about what this means for the South. But results will be different depending on how many cases they had when they finally took action.https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/02/us/coronavirus-social-distancing.html Ohio set t
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