The IHME lowered estimate of 60,000 U.S. COVID-19 deaths assumes that social distancing measures continue ***until the end of May.***

They aren't based on reopening the economy now.

This very important tidbit seems to be lost on many, many, many people.

IHME also warns of uncertainty: Its 95% uncertainty interval in this model actually goes up to 155,000 deaths by August. The shaded uncertainty area is large -- and assumes distancing through May plus other things put in place to prevent resurgence --> https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america