In some excellent news, the IMHE model has now dramatically downgraded its predictions of death AGAIN.

They& #39;ve moved the peak forward, to April 12, and they& #39;ve significantly lowered the size of the peak, to 2,212 deaths, as opposed to well above 3,000. https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america">https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-st...

They& #39;ve also lowered the number of expected hospital, ICU, and ventilators needed on the peak date of resource usage, now predicted for April 11. That number of ventilators needed on peak date is now less than half the 40,000 many were predicting, at least according to the IMHE.

The model already assumed full social distancing through May, so these results should not be affected by "we did social distancing better."