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Rob Ford
robfordmancs
My analysis of this week's elections for the Observer - Brexit may be done but the aftershocks of the referendum are still reverberating through England in the form of shifting
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Another sleeper story in the English locals results is Con decline and LD/Lab advance in "blue wall" constituencies which voted Remain in 2016 but returned Con MPs in 2019. Here
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*Sigh*. Disappointing to see that Guardian, like many media orgs, continues to focus exclusively on the "numbers game" Q, which is a poor way to measure imm attitudes. 1/2https://twitter.com/alexandreafonso/status/1320735350579437
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This is one of the really intriguing questions of the next 9 days - how do campaigns adapt to a historically unprecedented level of really early turnout?https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1320431044240252929 In several of
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Brexitland is out today! To celebrate the release of our new book I'm going to put up a graph a day here highlighting some of the big themes we discuss.
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How plausible is this “COVID has driven decline in radical right” hypothesis? Let’s take just a simple look at the polling trends:Germany: Rad rt decline began in early 2019, accelerated
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V interesting read. Along with the theories posited here, I can think of a couple of other reasons why Cons might prefer to keep culture wars issues at arms length,
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Tweets like this are doing big numbers at the moment, and while its worth underlining that Trump (a) can still win and (b) has an Electoral College advantage, its also
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Migration to Britain now running above the peaks seen before Brexit. Net migration now back around 300k a year. EU migration down sharply, replace by non-EU migration.Yet the political salience
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The deep partisan divide on immigration evident here long predates Brexit. Indeed the past four years have paradoxically been ones of relative calm on this issue. Polls like this suggest
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This awful story stems from an aspect of our citizenship law that is not well understood - people can be born here and live their whole lives here without acquiring
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The Cummings story feels like something it should be impossible for a PM and govt to brazen out, until you remember all the other things the Johnson govt have already
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