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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
nntaleb
To sleep well: hedge all your tail exposures. #RWRI+ hide nothing from your enemies+ pay all your taxes, show the IRS all your income mother of all tail risks)+ be
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This is, scientifically speaking, fraud.Higher dimensional problems require monstrously larger sample.It is similar to the racist cranial theories [with even worse math].https://twitter.com/baumard_nicolas/status/1308715609795039232 2) The
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It is remarkable that you have idiots like this "Prof" @BallouxFrancois who conflate additive risks with multiplicative ones (fat tailed), a mistake your grandmother wouldn't make.https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/129
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Friends, there is a mob of "COVID is not serious" (even hoax) politicized attack dogs w/no notion of science nor interest in it who tag to the very few play-the-system
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BOOK PUBLISHING THREAD, 1First Wave: Fashion buyers, the class of people who systematically buy NEW "idea books". The entire book industry organized to sell to them. Books must be "in
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SYMPOSIUM ON RISK PARITYFriends, in the wake of the road-rage by the lunatic of #AQR, @CliffordAsness, I will post short tutorial videos explaining the BS in theories of diversification.I will
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ERRORS 101Never produce a point estimate for risk management, esp. in a fat tailed domain, rather show statistical properties.Never judge a risk management stance from point forecasts.These errors are promoted
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We need a hall of shame in this thread. These people got us here owing to the lack of preparation. Murderous idiots!https://twitter.com/jeitoapp/status/1241355290852786181 The worst in the hall of shame is
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Every #RWRI we discuss the situation how *oil above ground* (hence the front oil future) can sqeeze suckers and have a negative value because it can be impossible to store
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Chloroquine: Does Big Pharma owns the media?+ Studies are said to be "not rigorous" when it comes to Chloroquine in spite of robust statistical signal+ Studies w/less rigor and significance
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It's not the reaction that wrecked the economy. It's the LACK of INITIAL reaction that wrecked the economy. Proper border controls on Jan 26, plus masks & tests & we'd
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MASKSOne comment about masks and nonlinearities that these imbeciles are not getting.Reducing exposure to viruses by 30% thanks to an "imperfect" mask does not mean reducing risk of contracting the
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