It is remarkable that you have idiots like this "Prof" @BallouxFrancois who conflate additive risks with multiplicative ones (fat tailed), a mistake your grandmother wouldn't make. https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1296911184545943554
2) The other thing this marshmallowbrained "Prof" @BallouxFrancois doesn't get is that the # of people who died from COVID accounts for mitigation & risk control measures.
It's like saying: we don't need security checks since planes aren't crashing.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2007.16096.pdf
3) Even without fat tails "BS-Frankie" @BallouxFrancois is failing elemtary statistics (Sat 101): comparing 2 variables with different variances (one very low, other very very high). https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1296924201731883008?s=20
4) When I call pple idiots, they have earned it, BSF ("BS-Frankie @BallouxFrancois).

For every location, relative changes in Covid fatalities proved > 100 time higher than relative Δ road deaths. https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1296934707226185729?s=20
5) And I DO NOT advocate lockdowns (except "in extremis"), rather controlling superspreaders, hyperactive testing, border control & forcing face masks.
You can follow @nntaleb.
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