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G. Elliott Morris
gelliottmorris
I have been trying to process this week’s unrest through the historical lens of the (GOP-driven) politicization of protests against police brutality & the corresponding political importance of (white) racial
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These results are consistent w/ Biden leading Trump nationally by ~8 points, the worst margin for an incumbent president at this point in the election cycle going back at least
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Mentioned this the other day, but national and state polls disagree in a big way right now about the state of the 2020 race. National surveys put the contest around
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THREAD Covid-19 is spreading from America's cities to its exurbs & rural heartland. Which areas are likely to face the worst of it? We modeled the disease's fatality rate &
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There is a mountain of evidence that shows people who watched Fox News early during the covid-19 outbreak were less likely to socially distance than others. Now we have evidence
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Here is a fun diagram. I took 2k responses to our polling on the Dem primary with YouGov and told my computer to place candidates in a 2-dimensional space depending
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The Wisconsin GOP scored an own goal in last Tuesday's voter suppression efforts. Turnout in deep blue Milwaukee is up nearly 20% v 2018 and 2016, vote shares in key
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The American far-left refusing to enter partnerships and engage in strategic bartering with their analogous in the dominant two-party system will doom any chance they have to wield actual influence
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Ugly but informative plot: Trump's approval rating is much higher than the poor state of the economy would suggest, fitting with theories that economic perceptions/actual conditions have limited influence over
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#NEW We have matched up county-level preferences for music genres with 2016 election results and have found the key data that capture the cultural currents that made Obama supporters
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