These results are consistent w/ Biden leading Trump nationally by ~8 points, the worst margin for an incumbent president at this point in the election cycle going back at least to the 1940s. Reconcilable only with Biden& #39;s odds being much higher than Clinton& #39;s at this pt in 2016. https://twitter.com/DrewLinzer/status/1262785406963077120">https://twitter.com/DrewLinze...

This + the AZ poll today make clear that Trump is a huge underdog for November, and narratives otherwise are not supported by the data

Sorry folks, this just isn& #39;t right -- at this point in 2016 Clinton was polling ~3 points ahead of Trump. Biden is up by 8 today https://twitter.com/MyNameIsSome0ne/status/1262789020964323332?s=20">https://twitter.com/MyNameIsS...

idk what you& #39;re talking about, the education split on the Civiqs poll is right on target (the AZ poll is not, but we& #39;re correcting for this in our models) https://twitter.com/Gosspaine/status/1262790034446401547?s=20">https://twitter.com/Gosspaine...

the education split on the civiqs poll is right on target