Ugly but informative plot: Trump's approval rating is much higher than the poor state of the economy would suggest, fitting with theories that economic perceptions/actual conditions have limited influence over voters' attitudes in 2020 (and during a pandemic...).
Maybe the recession takes a little time to kick in. Or maybe this is a pretty robust pattern that has been evident throughout Trump's presidency in a variety of measures!
https://www.economist.com/united-states/2019/05/23/american-voters-dont-care-about-the-economy

https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2019/11/28/does-the-economy-affect-elections-any-more https://www.economist.com/united-states/2020/01/11/consumer-confidence-no-longer-translates-into-presidential-popularity
Consumer confidence no longer translates into presidential popularity

That may not bode well for Donald Trump’s re-election chances

https://www.economist.com/united-states/2019/05/23/american-voters-dont-care-about-the-economy
Actually that second plot should look like this
Actually that second plot should look like this
Actually that second plot should look like this
You can follow @gelliottmorris.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:
There are a lot of misconceptions about the Turkish diaspora in Germany. Since i just finished writing an essay about this topic I thought it's time to give other people
Read more
Las mejores calculadoras online en 2020A thread http://totumat.com/2020/11/26/las-mejores-calculadoras-online-en-2020/ Cuando se estudian asignaturas que requieren de cálculos complicados, nada mejor que contar con una buena calculadora.
Read more
Mitigating #ClimateChange is as much about taking up new techs as about leaving others behindMost studies focus on #coal's global downfall but another #energy tech decline is loomingRead my new
Read more