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#Uncertainty
sweetie🧚🏻♀️
adamivka
"I acted with the feeling of seeing you again soon, but the director said, "Shall we go with a more expressionless expression?"in conclusion, they just wanted to put us in
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Adam O'Fallon Price
AdamOPrice
The single most common writing problem shared by short story writers of all stripes is not understanding the difference between ambiguity and vagueness In ambiguous stories, the author—and the text
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Dr Darren Saunders
whereisdaz
We're all facing huge anxiety around the #Coronavirus crisis. A quick reflection on how scientists can lead the way in helping society become more comfortable with doubt and uncertainty. #COVID19
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Dr. Angela Rasmussen
angie_rasmussen
Unqualified self-promoters jumped to exploit the inherent uncertainty in scientific research to pretend at prophecy, that scientists were wrong and they were right because they plowed ahead, unhindered by uncertainty,
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Abel Gustafson, PhD
AbelGustafson
In #scicomm, does communicating uncertainty have negative effects?Our review [now out in @SciPublic] finds that in most cases, the answer is NO. But there is an important exception where it
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🕳⚪️
cryborg
In the next few days America and the World are about to undergo a (collective) mental & emotional psychic shift.Billions of ppl across the earth are afraid of the future
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Tom Chivers
TomChivers
*damning* towards the end about the "number theatre" of the government's press conferences: "completely embarrassing; we're told lots of big … precise numbers, actually not trustworthy communication of statistics"This BEFO
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Vishnu Som
VishnuNDTV
1. Our report on how a last-ditch plan to convert the aircraft carrier Viraat into a maritime museum lies stalled on the desk of MoD babudom. In 15 days, Viraat
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Jacob Steinhardt
JacobSteinhardt
Good to see this analysis, but misleading headline. 24 states have *point estimates* over 1, but uncertainty in estimates is large. Let's consider null hypothesis that Rt=0.95 everywhere. Then would
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Kate Raworth
KateRaworth
This is fascinating. Instead of GDP targets, China is focusing on jobs and living standards. Is it a momentary hiatus, or a flicker between paradigms? Are we seeing the beginning
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Kate Kloza
Dr_Polarbird
So I don't know if this helps anyone with the uncertainty of all the closures right now, but in Antarctica we have this thing called the A-Factor. It's the constant
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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan
LucyStats
I’ve seen lots of folks confused about the IHME uncertainty bands: why does it look like the estimate for tomorrow is more uncertain than the estimate for months from now?
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An Idiot Plays (A.I.P if you please)
idiot_plays
Well....that threw me for a loop. I have tomorrow off with the possibility of Monday as well. Work is slowing down so I may even be laid off for a
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Raj Mehta, MD
raj_mehta
1/ Tweetorial on Decision making and Evidence Based MedicineOrIntegrating Bayesian Inference, Utility, and Uncertainty to optimize rational Medical Decisions. 2/ General disclaimer, this is more of a proposal on how
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Jonathan Colmer
JonathanColmer
#EconTwitter I'm delighted that an early release of my paper "Rainfall Variability, Child Labor, and Human Capital Accumulation in Rural Ethiopia" is now available on the @AJAE_AAEA website. A short
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Dan Morgan
dr_dmorgan
1/ During #covid19 we have been talkingAbout the #newnormal … which got me thinkingThat the old normal curve doesn’t Fit the current reality@drjohnm @VPrasadMDMPH @PaulSaxMD 2/ this #pandemic Bell curve
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