#Probability

Amit Kumar

akumar

my prediction is that trump will fade from public view by end of 2021 and not run again in 2024. i disagree that there's a 'trump base' as much as

Avinash Paliwal

PaliwalAvi

Pakistan has a history of blaming India for attacks on its soil (& vice versa). Allegations are often exaggerated. But the fact is, India has not always been a bystander

John Ferry

JohnFerry18

This would entail Scotland issuing vast amounts - billions of pounds worth - of 'sub-sovereign' bonds directly to the market. Potentially a good idea? Maybe, but ironically it's likely a

Mihir

RhythmicAnalyst

#Gold seems to be bullish in 2019. Deviation from the depicted channel would invalidate the projection.[1-Jan-2019 10:41 PM ET this is just an opinion, not a financial advice] Gold is

Abraar Karan

AbraarKaran

A wedding in rural Maine led to the state's largest #covid19 outbreak. The screening for the party was symptom and temperature checks. The presumed index case showed symptoms the day

Return on Capital

CapitalTalk2

1/ I've been writing for http://www.returnoncap.com for about a year, and a personal [but public] investment blog since 2015. Since quite a few people on FinTwit have their own blogs/newsletters,

Jake Orthwein

JakeOrthwein

Trying to Figure Out Where @DavidDeutschOxf's Critical Rationalism and @Meaningness's Meta-rationality Disagree(for the very small niche of people that find this interesting) For starters, where they agree:- We are fallible.

Erin Kissane

kissane

So! Pregnancy tests are a fine way to explain *some* things about covid testing or testing for infectious disease in general, but are a really-not-great way to talk about other

Devan Sinha

DevanSinha

Informative paper - B117 (SGTF) viral load and transmission dynamics for test strategiesThey linked 1m INDEX cases in England to PCR+ contacts across settings by age (not what PHE did)B117transmissibility

Jimit Zaveri🌱🌿🌳

lucky_jimit

THE DUBIOUS EFFICACY OF DOCTORS, CONSULTANTS AND PSYCHOTHERAPISTS -Regression to MeanA thread https://jimitzaveri.wordpress.com/2021/04/11/3610/ Everything in a world moves toward an extreme direction from average and come back to average.

mattparlmer 🌷

mattparlmer

The political crisis that is coming to the US is utterly predictable and if you don't see a really bad version of in the set of plausible outcomes you need

Neil Strauss

neilstrauss

Hmm, I wonder what changed in 2014? Nope, not what you think. This changed:https://www.drugtopics.com/pharmacy/actavis-sell-generic-reformulated-oxycontin-2014 And then:https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/little-known-generic-drug-companies

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

Biden's Electoral College win probability down a bit, to 70%, after some mediocre polls for him this morning. He had been hovering around 73% in recent days. So not a

Mostly Borrowed Ideas

borrowed_ideas

1/ Thread: Is Cricket a game of skill or luck?Cricket is the only sport I have religiously followed since childhood.You don’t have to understand Cricket to be able to follow

Think for Yourself

JennieOutlaw

I provide proof after proof here that Austin is #Qanon & not things that he is saying or others are saying are proofs. Because if he is & he is

David R. MacIver

DRMacIver

Haskell programmers are used to making programming super annoying in order to achieve greater correctness, Python programmers wouldn't be using Python in the first place if they were willing to