#Probability

Sergej Sumlenny

sumlenny

THREAD: what comes next amid Russian pressure on Ukraine? The situation is pretty volatile and covered with fog of war. Still, certain important factors are visible. I’d try to elaborate.

Emily G (not a newspaper)

EmilyGorcenski

Biotech is a layer cake of fraudhttps://twitter.com/davidenrich/status/1286985822022107141 I don’t want to rain on anyone’s parade, but you need to not get hopeful about promising coronavirus vaccine Phase 1/2 study results.Because

Jens Nordvig

jnordvig

A couple of things (=THREAD) I learnt about managing teams while working remote with the @exantedata crew since early March (just my personal take, not @HarvardBiz stuff). 1) Not having

USGS Earthquakes

USGS_Quakes

An #earthquake swarm has kicked off southwest of the #SaltonSea today, producing 240 earthquakes as of 8pm Pacific. The largest earlier this evening was M4.9.So what does this mean? We’ve

Veronica Kitchen

vmkitchen

BLUF: Everyone feels fine, and tested negative for COVID. So! my spouse’s COVID alert app alerted Saturday morning, and since I haven’t heard about anyone else having this happen yet,

Alex Brogan

_alexbrogan

10 Mental Concepts To Make You Smarter: Recency IllusionThe belief that things you have noticed only recently are in fact recent—or have only just come into existence "Whoa, that's new

Darth

TheBitcoinVader

Ok, Seems like it's not going to 11k just yet. Going to attempt to turn $100 into $1k by July 1st. High leverage scalp plays. I normally do not use

Ines Black

inesblackh

Thank you @shariqueorg for including me, and @femonomics for starting #TweetABlackEconomistsPaper. I will discuss important work by @tacraigie, from which I learned a great deal, entitled “Ban the Box, Convictions,

Michael Carpenter

mikercarpenter

I've been asked what I expect from Russia in 2019. Here's my top 10 list of events to watch out for (not in any particular order of probability) #1

Reynier the Fox

LightRey

Alright I'm going to make a thread about this for people to be clear about the basic facts of the Depp/NGN case, or to reference as a quick explanation for

balajis.com

balajis

The ledger of record is the set of all cryptographically signed feeds of on-chain data. It subsumes social media feeds, data APIs, event streams, newsletters, RSS. It'll take years to

NY Yankees Throwbacks

yankeethrowback

THREAD: The Top 25 Yankee moments by Win Probability Added, 2010-2019#25 - April 28, 2017Starlin Castro goes down to one knee, hits a game-tying home run47.5% WPA #24 - May

R. Scott Clark

RScottClark

Heidelcast Minute: The Federal Visionists Deny The Protestant Distinction Between Law And Gospelhttps://heidelblog.net/2019/11/heidelcast-minute-the-federal-visionists-deny-the-protestant-distinction-between-law-and-gospel/ There were FIVE stages of

Jack Blumenau

jblumenau

Are MPs responsive to the priorities of their constituents? In this new LSQ paper, I use data from the UK e-petition system to show that MPs are more likely to

Anand Giridharadas

AnandWrites

A basic confusion has wrought so much destruction in American life.A lot of venture capitalists tricked themselves, and then others, into thinking that they are thinkers. They are literally just

Tomer Burg

burgwx

This graphic garnered quite a bit of discussion - since not everyone is overly familiar with ensembles, this thread will focus on interpreting this data and what it means for