#Predictions

Sean T at RCP

SeanTrende

Every time I read stuff like this I can't help but think of the South Park episode where the Broflovski's buy a Prius and move to San Francisco and everyone

Rex Douglass

RexDouglass

Today I'm going to be live tweeting:"Predictive performance of international COVID-19mortality forecasting models"(Friedman et al. August 26, 2020)What looks like a great evaluation of covid model performance over long periods

Cool Hand Luke

CoolHand__

1/ On a daily basis for almost 2+ years we had to endure the regurgitated drivel of the talking heads at @CNN @MSNBC @ABC @CBSNews etc., as well as those

Allen Cheng

peripatetical

The PM has indicated that the Australian #COVID19 modelling will be published during the week. A thread (part 2; note part 1 with my disclaimers)https://twitter.com/peripatetical/status/1243684739602501633?s=20 There are going to be

Hannah Natanson

hannah_natanson

BREAKING: Stunning data for Fairfax County, VA's largest school system, shows HUGE academic cost of online learning — Fs up by 83% this year. Vulnerable children struggling most: Fs for

The Entertainment Strategy Guy

EntStrategyGuy

Question to make sure I'm not off base here:The hot new narrative is that "Recessions/pandemics accelerate underlying trends."Does anyone have proof of this? I've seen this parroted by a few

Erdoan A. Shipoli

eshipoli

It’s mind blowing to read Turkish and Albanian tweeps commenting on US elections in my experience and jnoweldge US elections are the most complicated, thus one needs a lot

Sunil Sawhney

Sunil_Sawhney

Today many countries have an interesting #paradox. Do we continue #lockdown for a very long time and wipe out our economies or let a few people die and keep the

rabblerousr

rabblerousr

In thinking of the difference between front offices and armchair (basement?) scouts, I was reminded of Daniel Ellsberg's words to Henry Kissinger re: the difference in information once he had

Parry Malm

ParryMalm

I’ve been playing #FPL for three years now. I don’t know much about football (soccer). But I do know a bit about statistics and economics, so I’ve built a model

Jacob Lovatt

JacobLovatt

1/n563 people died in last 24hr reporting period as of 4pm on March 31 (there will be more than that as the figures don't track all deaths, "deaths in the

Maxwell Ramstead

mjdramstead

A thread to comment on @danwilliamsphil’s preprint “Is the brain an organ for prediction error minimization?” The preprint available here: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/18047/ Many sincere thanks to Dan for the pleasant and

Joe Mayes

Joe_Mayes

We're approaching 100 days of Brexit - so how have the so-called `Project Fear' predictions played out? Here's a breakdown 1/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-09/100-days-of-brexit-was-it-as-bad-as-project-fear-war

Robin

rthms39

Ce mec nous a cassé les couilles à faire des prédictions "y'aura rien à la rentrée c'est prouvé" au lieu de se contenter d'une critique politique du délire de l'été.

Dan Neidle

DanNeidle

Since Richard Murphy is citing his 2014 blog on declining corporation tax receipts, let's see how good it looks in retrospect. (Spoiler: not very good) Murphy looked at large and

Kiko

AfcKiko

Arsenal - LeicesterPreview and predictions*THREAD* Arsenal Team News: Holding MartinelliChambersMariWillian (doubt)Ceballos (doubt) Leicester Team News: Vardy (doubt)SoyuncuPerreira NdidiAmartey Referee: Craig PawsonVAR: Paul TierneyPawson