#IFRS

Since everyone's talking about herd immunity in the United States at the moment, I thought I'd quickly run some rough calculations of the number of deaths required to get to
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Alright, here's a little Suffolk County, NY analysis for you. The topic: General population risk versus nursing home risk. Overall, there have been 2,012 deaths attributed to COVID in Suffolk
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This article was just published on how far we are from herd immunity for COVID-19. Although the title is definitely correct, the article has a surprising number of important issues
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Lots of people are still comparing the COVID-19 death rate with influenza ("it's only as deadly as the flu!")This is very misleadingIf you compare apples to apples, COVID-19 is MUCH
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Today, this new preprint from John Ioannidis (of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame) went onlineAlready up to Altmetric of 541Let's do a rapid peer-review on twitter 1/n 2/n
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A thought I've been having a lot recently - everyone says that waves 2 & 3 of COVID-19 have been markedly different from the firstThis is often used to support
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everyday mood: 3 hours meeting i dont know what im doing and
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What if we had a better metric for communicating the risk COVID-19 currently poses to society than case numbers?The R number and deaths also have big flaws (more )What if
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can anyone recommend any decent articles in left publications discussing post-lockdown / transition from lockdown? would be v interested So far it looks like the answer is "no" & in
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I've revised my Infection Fatality Rates (IFR) from the Spanish Antibody Study to make it more accurateMain changes:1) data from different dates to correspond with when samples were taken2) added
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Thread on how lethal Covid is using available evidence rather than modelling guesses. One place to start is population fatality rates in hard hit city districts eg in New York
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Why does @AlexBerenson continue to spread dangerous and inaccurate information about COVID19?He seems so invested in his reputation as a contrarian that he’s giving out bad info. Chasing clout at
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What can we conclude from 1st serosurvey results from NY just made public by Cuomo? https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/23/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/23/nyregion/coronavirus-antibodies-test-ny.html Data from
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It's been coming up a lot lately, so I thought I'd do a bit of a thread on CONVENIENCE SAMPLES and why they aren't great for assessing POPULATION PREVALENCE of
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Anders Tegnell and @Folkhalsomynd seem interested in working out the total number of people in Stockholm that have already been infected by #covid19 and thus may have a measure of
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1/There's been a resurgence in the myth that SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, kills ~0.26% of the people it infects in the US.In other words: The infection fatality rate
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