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Kevin Milligan

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Since apparently this needs repeating: how is it that there can be so many people on CERB?It is because so many people lost work. People need support.Is there some fraud?

Over the past couple of weeks, I've had a number of media calls on the potential for 'ineligible' CERB applications. These are often backed by anecdotes.I don't doubt the anecdotes!

I think there is too much pessimism about the future path of the labour market and economy.Yes, the labour market took a terrible hit in March and April. We will

A little thread on CERB and the prospects for false claims....1/ We have all heard or read the anecdotes about someone's niece or cousin or friend who claimed CERB while

No, the CERB is not going to turn into a monthly universal $2K cheque. 1) That's a bad idea because it ignores differing needs.2) do the math, lolMy old writing

The Government of Canada has the fiscal capacity to handle the present macro challenges. Any notion that the 'fiscal cupboard is bare' is irrefutably, absolutely, 100%, 180 degrees wrong.Let me

The Government of Canada should immediately begin regular, timely, official publication of administrative counts of CERB/EI applications/recipients.This information is imperative to have freely available to the public.It should happen now.

On hindsight bias.In March, a reporter for a national newspaper called and asked for comment on the state of the labour market.I said that we were likely to see the

Paul Romer is a Nobel-winning economist. He advocates for moving toward a regime of wide-scale testing.We don't have the capacity to do this *today*.He argues we could have the capacity

I've seen some discussion that for emergency support, dividends should be treated the same as wages.I'm going to get to that, but let's start this thread by defining a key

The overall employment loss is 1 million. But we also have to account for the number @acoyne pulls out here as well:2.1 million were still employed, but had seriously reduced

I see the question of "why not just send everyone a flat universal cheque" was raised at Rideau Cottage this morning.I wrote a thread on this last night.Here it is.