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Caitlin Rivers, PhD
cmyeaton
But the decision cannot wait until health systems are already overwhelmed. The time from infection to ICU admission is about 3 weeks, so any changes today will not show up
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On the decision to reclose when an outbreak is intensifying. Let me first say that nobody wants to reclose. It is a drastic, disruptive move, to understate it. But we’re
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I’m not usually a reactive tweeter but this caught me off guard yesterday. I wrote “wait, that can’t be the plan.” 1/https://twitter.com/matthancock/status/1266995931439943683?s=21 And then I deleted it because I wasn’t
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There is a print in a colleague’s office at @JHSPH_CHS commemorating the eradication of smallpox. It’s signed Never Again! I want us to say that about pandemics. And mean it.
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Most states have begun to reopen. Here is my guess for what that will mean for transmission. A thread. 1/ The best possible scenario would have been that communities have
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Today I shared testimony with the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Labor, HHS, & Education on the #COVID19 response. I told the committee what I’ve been saying here. We are in
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In April an average of ~2,000 people died of coronavirus in the US each day. That is more than daily average from cancer or heart disease. I fear there is
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I’ve been noticing a dangerous polarization in our discussions around navigating our way through the pandemic. Reopening is said to be playing games with people’s lives. Continuing stay at home
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Data on Georgia Department of Health website shows that the number of active infections (people currently sick) is increasing as of the latest data (April 14) 1/ It's really hard
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I know more about Singapore’s outbreak than the US’s. I know that 95% of yesterday’s cases there were in dormitory residents, and I know there have been an average of
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Lots of serosurveys trickling out, some with more heat than light. Let’s not miss the forest for the trees. A thread. 1/ Whether seroprevalence is 2% or 3% is mostly
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I am not enthusiastic about using influenza like illness (ILI) data to guide the public health response to Covid. I think @reichlab and I were actually the first team to
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