from what we've seen so far, it seems unlikely to me that Israel would have a significant, national exit wave when it fully unlocks - but I could be wrong. what seems more likely are smaller waves in areas or groups with low vax rates - the most obvious being children. 1/2 https://twitter.com/RufusSG/status/1381304739745439747

that may not be a major problem in itself e.g. if cases stay concentrated mostly in children, and it burns out in a few weeks. but definitely one to keep an eye on. and it also means models with age and regional structures may become more usefully predictive vs. those without