In Sumter Co., FL, as of this morning 72,695 out of 105,612 registered voters (69%) have already voted - which I believe is the highest turnout rate outside of auto-VBM states.

Although we know that Trump is likely to better in the EDay vote than the early vote virtually everywhere, there& #39;s not *that* huge a difference between the Sumter voters who have voted so far and those who haven& #39;t...

Among the 72,695 Sumter voters who have cast ballots, they break down:

58% R
25% D
17% NPA/Other

Here& #39;s the breakdown of the 32,917 Sumter registrants who *haven& #39;t* yet cast ballots:

53% R
21% D
26% NPA/Other

So, I& #39;m adjusting my Sumter line. We& #39;re now likely to see 80k+ Sumter ballots reported shortly after 7pm on 11/3.

If Trump is winning them by 63%-36% or less, that would be a terrible sign for his chances of winning FL/reelection (likely needs 67%+ in the final Sumter count).

This is my lone exception to the rule against hazardously over-interpreting batches of early results alone, and it& #39;s only because such an extreme % of Sumter& #39;s total vote is cast in advance of Election Day and counted quickly.