One thing about 2016 is it wasn& #39;t just that our model gave Trump a better chance than other models/conventional wisdom, but also that we really tried to lean into that with our headlines, on social media, etc. We were quite adamant about pointing out that Trump had a decent shot.
One thing about 2016 is it wasn& #39;t just that our model gave Trump a better chance than other models/conventional wisdom, but also that we really tried to lean into that with our headlines, on social media, etc. We were quite adamant about pointing out that Trump had a decent shot.
One thing about 2016 is it wasn& #39;t just that our model gave Trump a better chance than other models/conventional wisdom, but also that we really tried to lean into that with our headlines, on social media, etc. We were quite adamant about pointing out that Trump had a decent shot.
One thing about 2016 is it wasn& #39;t just that our model gave Trump a better chance than other models/conventional wisdom, but also that we really tried to lean into that with our headlines, on social media, etc. We were quite adamant about pointing out that Trump had a decent shot.
One thing about 2016 is it wasn& #39;t just that our model gave Trump a better chance than other models/conventional wisdom, but also that we really tried to lean into that with our headlines, on social media, etc. We were quite adamant about pointing out that Trump had a decent shot.
We actually worried toward the end that we were overdoing it to some degree—not with the model itself, but that we tended to focus a lot more on Trump 30% chance than Clinton& #39;s 70%. And I think we probably would have gotten some crap for it if Clinton had won.
It& #39;s weird to live through an experience—that we were sort of waving our arms around and saying "he& #39;s got a shot!" when very few people were doing that—and have a lot of people remember it exactly the opposite way. Especially in the internet era when you can look all of this up.
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