Contingent on Democrats winning a fairly resounding victory on Nov. 3, obviously a huge contingency, probably right. https://twitter.com/conorsen/status/1308178181229346816

You have a GOP that appoints a new justice either immediately before or immediately after a landslide/near-landslide defeat, and it credibly threatens to overturn both the ACA and Roe, a lot of normie Dems are going to be like "eff this".

The normie Dems will call for 2 seats, the activist Dems will call for 6 seats, and the wonky Dems will have some esoteric overcomplicated plan that would wind up netting them 3-4 seats or something, but few Dems would regard the status quo as acceptable.