The replies to this are interesting. I suspect most people vastly overestimate the risks of catching COVID given *any one* activity (e.g. going to the grocery store once) but then fail to consider how much the risks accumulate when you& #39;re performing these activities *repeatedly*. https://twitter.com/meganranney/status/1299129806672592896">https://twitter.com/meganrann...

I& #39;m guessing in my pre-COVID life, I was doing ~35 activities a week that would now be considered at least medium-risk. Most of these are boring: going to the office, riding the subway, eating meals in restaurants, etc. I& #39;m guessing most other people& #39;s numbers are similar.

Even if the risk associated with any one activity is just 0.05% (1 in 2000), I& #39;d have a ~60% chance of getting COVID if maintaining this pre-COVID lifestyle for a year. Actually, maybe a bit less because the risks are likely somewhat non-independent, but you get the general idea.