Congratulations to Prof. Stein Emil Vollset ( @IHME_UW)) on “ #Fertility, #mortality, #migration, & #population #scenarios for 195 countries …: a #forecasting analysis for the #GBDstudy 2019 @TheLancet doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2

The implications of this paper are very interesting. It is well worth your time and a read. Some highlights in the tweets that follow ..

1. In the #reference #scenario (see first tweet in this thread), the global #population was projected to peak in 2064 at 9.73 billion (8.84-10.9) people and decline to 8.79 billion (6.83-11.8) in 2100

2. Reference projections show the 5 #largest #population #countries in 2100: #India (1.09 billion [0.72-1.71], #Nigeria (791 million [594-1056]), #China (732 million [456-1499]), #USA (336 million [248-456]) & #Pakistan (248 million [151-427])

3. By 2050, 151 countries were forecasted to have a total fertility rate ( #TFR) lower than the #replacement level (TFR <2.1), & 183 were forecasted to have a TFR lower than replacement by 2100