Something that I think gets lost is: the plan was not supposed to be to have lockdowns⁠—or related things like school closures⁠—until a vaccine. Lockdowns suck. ⁠It was to use the time in lockdown to develop a more sustainable medium-term strategy.

Where I differ a bit from the consensus is I think people maybe overestimate how easy it was ever going to be to develop & execute this strategy, especially in a large, polarized country like the US. A LOT of countries are having issues.* But we obviously haven& #39;t even come close.

* Namely, most of the Americas; Russia; South Africa; increasingly, South Asia and the Middle East. And Western Europe is a complicated case. I& #39;m not sure how much credit you can give to countries (e.g. Italy) that had a really bad outbreak before but have it under control now.