The percentage of tests that are coming up positive in NY state remains very high but now falling a bit each day:

4/7 (most recent): 41.7%
4/6: 42.5%
4/5: 46.7%
4/4: 44.6%
4/3: 46.9%
4/2: 48.6%
4/1: 48.1%
3/31: 50.4%
3/30: 49.9%
3/29: 49.5%
3/28: 43.9%

https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS-COVID19-Tracker/NYSDOHCOVID-19Tracker-DailyTracker?%3Aembed=yes&%3Atoolbar=no&%3Atabs=n">https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS...

The peak in newly-detected cases coming on 3/31 would make a lot of sense. Roll 2-3 weeks back from that (average lag time between infection + case detection) and we& #39;re in the 2nd week of March, when the problem is becoming clearer but before there& #39;s much social distancing.

Test volume in New York isn& #39;t increasing THAT much but it is increasing SOME... around 20k tests per day now (and a record 25k yesterday) vs. 15k or so on average in the week before that. Enough to have an effect on what the curve looks like.