Here& #39;s a pattern that I think may have some consequences for polling in 2020, at least for now: response rate by vote history.

In our polls from last month, here& #39;s the completion percentage by vote history.
Voted 2016 and 2018: 2.3%
Voted 2016 not 2018: 1.3%
Didn& #39;t vote 2016, voted 2018: 2.3%
Didn& #39;t vote 2018 or 2016: 1.1%

To my knowledge, no public pollster adjusts for this--either in terms of sampling or weighting.
Now, here& #39;s Trump approval in PA/WI/MI, by vote history:
Voted 2016 and 2018: 47-51
Voted 2016 not 2018: 55-43
Didn& #39;t vote 2016, voted 2018: 38-61
Neither: 52-45

Here& #39;s Trump approval in AZ/FL by vote history:
Voted 2016 and 2018: 50-49
Voted 2016 not 2018: 44-54
Didn& #39;t vote 2016, voted 2018: 44-53
Neither: 40-53