Read on Twitter
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 1
That correlation is a measure of relationship betw 2 variables.
It is very rarely so.
Few understand how correlation requires 1) no subsampling, 2) strict linearity... and its interpretation is nonlinear: 90% correlation >>> 80%.
That correlation is a measure of relationship betw 2 variables.
It is very rarely so.
Few understand how correlation requires 1) no subsampling, 2) strict linearity... and its interpretation is nonlinear: 90% correlation >>> 80%.
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 2
Semitic & Indo European languages appear to BOTH emerge from the same area in the Caucasus-Zagros-Anatolia, owing to proximity of agricultural vocabulary & similar original pop. genetics. Current linguistic categories are unrigorous.
@Safaitic
Semitic & Indo European languages appear to BOTH emerge from the same area in the Caucasus-Zagros-Anatolia, owing to proximity of agricultural vocabulary & similar original pop. genetics. Current linguistic categories are unrigorous.
@Safaitic
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 3
The "law of large numbers" almost never works for socioeconomic variables. See Chapters 6-8.
https://www.academia.edu/37221402/THE_STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_">https://www.academia.edu/37221402/...
The "law of large numbers" almost never works for socioeconomic variables. See Chapters 6-8.
https://www.academia.edu/37221402/THE_STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_">https://www.academia.edu/37221402/...
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 4
That debt helps growth & "innovation" (promoted by bankers)
+ Neither the Industrial Revolution (Brittain) nor the technological one (Silicon Valley) were financed by debt.
+ Debt is for wars, crony capitalism, bailing out friendly companies.
That debt helps growth & "innovation" (promoted by bankers)
+ Neither the Industrial Revolution (Brittain) nor the technological one (Silicon Valley) were financed by debt.
+ Debt is for wars, crony capitalism, bailing out friendly companies.
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 5
They don& #39;t tell you that you are more likely
+ to learn a foreign language in a bar than in a classroom
+ to learn mathematics while trading than doing homework
+ that schoolteachers are a great model of what not to become when you grow up
They don& #39;t tell you that you are more likely
+ to learn a foreign language in a bar than in a classroom
+ to learn mathematics while trading than doing homework
+ that schoolteachers are a great model of what not to become when you grow up
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 6
+ Lebanese is a standalone Semitic language; it and Arabic are separate languages, not mutually understandable, no matter how much the "Arabistas" try to smoke you with pseudoscientific claims. https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c">https://medium.com/east-med-...
+ Lebanese is a standalone Semitic language; it and Arabic are separate languages, not mutually understandable, no matter how much the "Arabistas" try to smoke you with pseudoscientific claims. https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c">https://medium.com/east-med-...
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 7
+That you need to be a good "forecaster" to perform well. In fact you may NEED to be a bad forecaster to survive, get rich, etc.
+Probability is a nonseparable kernel inside an integral. Most of the psych lit is BS https://www.academia.edu/38962327/_One_Does_Not_Eat_Forecasts_On_the_Difference_between_Forecasting_and_Real_Life_Payoffs?source=swp_share">https://www.academia.edu/38962327/...
+That you need to be a good "forecaster" to perform well. In fact you may NEED to be a bad forecaster to survive, get rich, etc.
+Probability is a nonseparable kernel inside an integral. Most of the psych lit is BS https://www.academia.edu/38962327/_One_Does_Not_Eat_Forecasts_On_the_Difference_between_Forecasting_and_Real_Life_Payoffs?source=swp_share">https://www.academia.edu/38962327/...
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 8
+ That Modern Portfolio Theory (Markowitz) is imperfect. It is not imperfect, it is wrong, in the sense that you are better off not using it than using it.
https://www.academia.edu/37221402/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_">https://www.academia.edu/37221402/...
+ That Modern Portfolio Theory (Markowitz) is imperfect. It is not imperfect, it is wrong, in the sense that you are better off not using it than using it.
https://www.academia.edu/37221402/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_">https://www.academia.edu/37221402/...
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 9
+ That GMO (Genetic Modification) is "scientific", that it is just "accelerated breeding". It is scientism & not in the same class as breeding.
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html">https://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/Precautio...
+ That GMO (Genetic Modification) is "scientific", that it is just "accelerated breeding". It is scientism & not in the same class as breeding.
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html">https://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/Precautio...
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 9
+ That IQ tests measure "intelligence". They mostly measure 1) obedience, 2) the unintelligence of IQ psychologists/psychometricians. https://medium.com/incerto/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39">https://medium.com/incerto/i...
+ That IQ tests measure "intelligence". They mostly measure 1) obedience, 2) the unintelligence of IQ psychologists/psychometricians. https://medium.com/incerto/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39">https://medium.com/incerto/i...
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 10 (not 9)
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 11
"Arab" science wasn& #39;t Arab, but Persian (Avicenna, Biruni, AlKhawarizmi (Algorithm), etc.), Syriac, Chaldean, from long traditions that preceded the Arab invasion.
They just wrote in Arabic; Newton wrote in Latin but isn& #39;t called "Italian".
"Arab" science wasn& #39;t Arab, but Persian (Avicenna, Biruni, AlKhawarizmi (Algorithm), etc.), Syriac, Chaldean, from long traditions that preceded the Arab invasion.
They just wrote in Arabic; Newton wrote in Latin but isn& #39;t called "Italian".
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 12
"Europe" is not a real continent (at best the daughter of a Phoenician king). Its definition is political, now affected by a religious separation.
If "Europe" were to be rationally defined, it should start in the Zagros/Caucasus.
"Europe" is not a real continent (at best the daughter of a Phoenician king). Its definition is political, now affected by a religious separation.
If "Europe" were to be rationally defined, it should start in the Zagros/Caucasus.
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 13
A correlation of 50% reduces uncertainty by 6-13% not more. Meaning psychology is a citation ring/political agenda.
A correlation of 50% reduces uncertainty by 6-13% not more. Meaning psychology is a citation ring/political agenda.
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 14
That funding causes innovation. False.
Innovation brings funding.
That funding causes innovation. False.
Innovation brings funding.
101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 15
That Indo European languages were born in the Eurasian Pontic-Caspian steppes/Northern Caucasus.
Much higher possibility they were born in East-Med, Anatolia.
That Indo European languages were born in the Eurasian Pontic-Caspian steppes/Northern Caucasus.
Much higher possibility they were born in East-Med, Anatolia.
Meanwhile it is all probabilistic so far. The Anatolian hypothesis is just much stronger.
(Continuing the thread) https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1177850770252845058?s=20">https://twitter.com/nntaleb/s...
