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Paul Mainwood

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A reflection from the history of science.Scientific controversies of the past are written up in textbooks with one side "winning" once experimental evidence becomes overwhelming.Three things glossed: a) How unpleasant

There we go. There’s one question around this I have done a few calculations on. That is: Do we have enough supply to vaccinate all adults, even with this new

What's Scotland's vaccination roll-out doing? First doses have fallen off a cliff.- It's not supply - they've heaps in their stockpiles & other nations with identical allocations are getting on

I've been projecting UK vaccine roll-out timings on the assumption that we proceed down the age-groups until all adults are offered a dose.But this is not what we should do.We

Hostage-to-fortune prediction for the UK: when the Israel-style collapse in COVID cases happens (a.k.a herd immunity), it will happen first in Wales.And it'll happen first there not because they are

I've cheered up a bit on vaccine supply. The data is consistent with a pretty-much-OK trajectory in the coming months. (It's also consistent with disaster, but let's be happy.)Also, people