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Noah Smith 🐇
Noahpinion
1/Tweets from the Experts, 4/23/2020 2/How do epidemiologists figure out what R0 is?A presentation:https://twitter.com/rozeggo/status/1253440740526632960 3/Remember, even after a vaccine arrives, it will take years to stamp out this virus.https://twi
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Finally, an antibody test in a high-prevalence area (NYC)!21% of New Yorkers infected + 1% death rate = 17,600 deathsThat's not too far off from the 15,400 reported by the
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The U.S.' incompetence at handling coronavirus doesn't make me very confident about our ability to, say, fight a major war. Not to mention coping with climate change. I mean, yes,
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Virologist friends: Has anyone looked into the question of whether Europe and the Eastern U.S. might have caught a different, more contagious, more deadly strain of COVID-19 than Asia, Australia,
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A depressing precedent: Washington state, the first to get infected, has never really managed to bend its curve. It looked like infections were falling, but...nope. Bounced right back up. http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/
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I bet that most places can reduce caseloads to manageable levels and implement #TestAndTrace by May 15. So if I had to bet on when shutdowns can start being lifted,
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I was HEAVILY lambasted on Twitter for saying I thought it sounded possible that the coronavirus *might* have escaped from a lab.https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/04/14/state-department-cables-warned-safety-issues-wuhan-lab-studying-bat-co
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Fauci is correct. Reopening is an "if", not a "when". We can't reopen until we get #TestAndTrace systems in place.https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1250107485731655680 If you reopen the economy without A) low case gro
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High-tech pandemic masks are cool. BUT, I think the first thing we need is just an infinitely reusable easily washable clear mask with air filters that can reliably block fully
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The early and mid 2000s were a golden age of Japanese rock & roll, and almost no one in America seems to realize this I'll do a thread in a
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1/A quick thread about the medium-term future of our coronavirus response (i.e. between lockdown and treatment/vaccine).Some have suggested we use variolation (i.e. try to intentionally infect each person with a
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1/A quick thread about anti-tech sentiment in the media. Some folks, like my friend Balaji, believe that the media has intentionally pushed an anti-tech narrative in order to get pageviews...https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1248957097229737985
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