A depressing precedent: Washington state, the first to get infected, has never really managed to bend its curve. It looked like infections were falling, but...nope. Bounced right back up.
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
New Jersey has been on a plateau for more than 3 weeks. The state is "locked down", yet it gets a steady 3000-4000 infections per day with no sign of decrease.
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
California has a low case growth rate, but has still been plateaued for more than 3 weeks, with about 900 new cases every day. No sign of curve-bending.
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
Massachusetts, same story.
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
The U.S. epidemic as a whole might be slightly declining, but at a pretty glacial rate.
It seems possible that our half-assed lockdowns are simply not capable of suppressing the rate of infection in any reasonable time, as Italy and Spain managed. https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1252051392543387649">https://twitter.com/Noahpinio...
It seems possible that our half-assed lockdowns are simply not capable of suppressing the rate of infection in any reasonable time, as Italy and Spain managed. https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1252051392543387649">https://twitter.com/Noahpinio...