#Probabilities

MI Capital

MIcapital2

Book Recommendations for books that have shaped my life, outlook, thinking, and investment process (though these are not necessarily investment books). I'm going to potentially keep this as a permanently

Ajey Pandey

AjeyPandey

Do not go gentle into that good night.Rage, rage against the dying of the light. - Dylan ThomasWelcome to #BurnBryte, a space-fantasy RPG by @JamesIntrocaso, @GMJimMcClure, @DarcyLRoss, and @kat_kuhl_The galaxy

Alon Eizenberg

eizenb_alon

During the past decade, many of you were subject to see our Jerusalem supermarkets paper in seminars and workshops. Possibly more than once. It is now accepted at the AEJ:Policy,

HK-47

Joe_Varner

@COsweda fantastic thread on spirituality earlier. Mostly because I feel like we've arrived at the same conclusion from different ends of the spectrum. You are absolutely right that the signs

Christopher A. Neilson

ChrisANeilson

Its time to self promote our US work on COVID19 & PPP that was recently published in the @jpube. Our team at http://covid19sbs.org lead by @john_eric, @GUlyssea and myself +

Jason L. Salemi, PhD ☕

JasonSalemi

An epidemiologist's primer to DIAGNOSTIC TESTING- sensitivity & specificity- positive and negative predictive values- likelihood ratios- pre- and post-test probabilitiesSound familiar?Sound really confusing?In this I'll try to t

random facts girl

soychicka

I think I've figured it out - the reason the Trump admin was effectively pushing increases in #COVID19 in swing and blue states, and opening the economy early:it's not to

Ana Lorena Fabrega

anafabrega11

Why story-driven learning can help you master any subject Walk into a classroom today.You’ll probably find a teacher lecturing about facts, figures, and formulas.We treat kids like computers. Give

Yous 🅨

YousXP

90% of dieters fail90% of aspiring traders fail87% of new year resolutions failSuccess is NOT DIFFICULT, we just make it difficult HOW TO make ‘difficult’ things happen with EASE (THREAD)

Jason Abaluck

Jabaluck

New paper w/ Leila Agha (@LeilaEcon), David Chan, Daniel Singer, and Diana Zhu: doctors who depart from guideline recommendations cause many preventable strokes. …https://spinup-000d1a-wp-offload-media.s3.amazonaws.com/faculty/wp-content/

Onur Özgöde

ummodern

Very sophisticated piece by @csissoko, but from a systemic risk perspective, both law and macroecon overlook the question of the dynamics of systemic interdependencies during emergencies. This is why risk

Sahil Bloom

SahilBloom

The most dangerous mental errors (you don’t know you’re making): Fundamental Attribution ErrorHumans tend to:(1) Attribute someone else's actions to their character—and not to their situation or context.(2) Attribute our

JohannesBorgen

jeuasommenulle

European Banks still need to book 220bn€ in loan losses for the Covid crisis. (Disclaimer: this is just my estimate, I could be totally wrong, read what follows at your

Joe Davison

joeddav

Language model prompting is all the rage lately in #NLProcLet me break down what it is, why researchers are studying it, and how it enables surprising zero/few-shot performance across a

Natalie E. Dean, PhD

nataliexdean

1. It's easier to poke holes in a study than to run a study yourself. We should expect many more SARS-CoV-2 serosurveys in our future. So in the spirit of

Iris van Rooij

IrisVanRooij

(Interesting. So the formal notions drove theoretical innovation such as pursued by Simon, Newell and others, while the technologies seemed most relevant for *acceptance* of those notions and theoretical constructs