🧵My translation of an excerpt of the June 5th #FSBletters from the #WindofChange inside the FSB to Vladimir Osechkin ( http://gulagu.net ). Appears that Emmanuel Macron & Olaf Scholz were Wind of Change’s intended audience for a large portion of this one.
Please listen to this audio as it explains the context and the genesis of the FSB letters. It will help you understand the prism through which these letters are to be read. You will understand in real human terms why Wind of Change writes to Vladimir.
As always, my comments for clarification are in (parenthesis). Wind of Change's parenthesis are in [brackets]. So, let's roll:
“…Completely possible that (Andrey) Turchak (Russian Senator) will be gradually but firmly sent to the grinder [not necessarily in just the political sense – these are unstable times],
although there are also some interesting figures lurking behind his back, so someone else from a different camp may end up getting shredded instead.
Attempts are being made to use #Kadyrov just how the Germans used Lenin pre-revolution: first you stick a fork in the enemy’s eye, and then suddenly this same fork gets thrust into your own throat.
Personally, due to the nature of my occupation and professional deformation (tendency to look at things from the point of view of one's own profession or special expertise),
such games appear to me as clinical idiocy, which led to what we all got embroiled in here in the first place, along with the entire nation. But such are the whims at the top.
On the whole, not much to add with regards to this situation. But I’ll highlight the strength of the leadership: to so skillfully pass off failures as victories – it’s at least some sort of a talent.
The President (Putin) says that we’ve defeated inflation. Of course, new real estate development sales have collapsed by 80% [and the big real estate business is not very possible without a delicate relationship with the power wing (security services) in Russia] –
so where would the rise in prices come from? Very similar situation with automobiles. There are no ball-bearings in the country – our automotive industry is at a total standstill.
In fact, the economy is in such a state of stupor that it's scary, but even our bosses keep assuring themselves that everything is very good.
I have no idea where the certainty that we will be able to pressure the West to reverse the sanctions comes from,
that we are about to enter into tacit negotiations with the U.S. to roll back the sanctions along with the recognition of our territorial acquisitions (Mariupol, Kherson, Donbas, Crimea, etc.).
If this is preparation of a disinformation campaign against the public to suppress panic, then why the f*ck is this being presented as actual data inputs to the Service (FSB)?
I have enough colleagues with overt support for Putin's actions, but even they don't understand where the leadership gets such confidence.
Surely. they can’t be unaware that our oil industry is on the verge of collapse – this is a separate subject, a big and complex one. Venezuela has already agreed to supply oil to Europe. And there are risks that the Saudis will also take this step after some bargaining.
We have failures on all fronts, and our accomplishments: just fairy-tale hopes for a brighter future.
The food crisis, which will now be hung on us for good reason – although everyone had some slight involvement – it appears we (Russia) will be proudly compensating everyone, alone. The energy crisis, the societal crisis.
If I were an analyst at some similar Service somewhere in the West, I’d be screaming at the top of my lungs that Russia should not be allowed an escape through any kind of settlement/agreement.
Because the damage to the world economy is now too pedantically documented. Our role as the guilty party is worthy of an Oscar.
And that everyone will suffer (around the world) – that’s clear, but it is the one who blinks first that will pay for it. To me, this is too obvious a scenario, which we are still stubbornly trying to ignore [at the leadership level].
In a professional sense, I am tempted to talk to my colleagues from the SVR (Russian Foreign Intelligence Service): Can they not see the obvious either?
I don't like bullfighting in principle, but it's much worse here, because I can already see who is running around in the role of the bull.
But the bull is smarter than we are: when they stab him in the back with banderillas [how is everything so symbolic!], he does not try to scoff that "your banderillas did not kill me."
No, in the end they will kill the bull with a rapier thrust, but in the meantime, they'll just wear him out. And then they will make a kebab.
What is at least a little reassuring is the hope that there must be at least some sane specialists in Europe and the United States who cannot fail to understand: if Russia were to simply and chaotically collapse, the shrapnel would hit everyone.
If the military seizes power [which is quite possible], the whole world will reminisce about the old world wars as if they were mild and low-blooded.
I just don’t see and don’t understand a way out right now that doesn’t result in a total catastrophe. And here is the question for the West: if they do not want everyone to suffer, let them also try to publicly construct scenarios for the absolute reform of #Russia.
And so, everyone is in the same boat: peaceful disintegration, as it was with the Soviet Union, is impossible, and to repeat the beginning of the last century with its world wars, too, oh how one would not want that...”
(END OF TRANSLATION of the excerpt of the June 5th #FSBletters from the #WindofChange)
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