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1/22 The geopolitical landscape is changing at a fast pace. Along with this transformation, the global monetary framework is adapting. I've been steadfast in support of the stated @Ripple mission & the $XRP digital asset since 2017. Though my support remains there 
2/22 are concerns that need to be expressed as I feel the window for the success of this mission is closing quickly or may have already closed. Allow me to explain. Brezinski's Grand Chessboard strategy for American dominance was built around a policy of keeping the major
3/22 geopolitical players in Eurasia from developing closer multilateral relations which would, in turn, weaken America's influence over the mega continent. Such Eurasian alliances could push America out of Eurasia altogether. If Ukraine falls to Russia so will other Western
4/22 European nations, abruptly ending the EU experiment. If Taiwan is reunited with mainland China it makes a Korean reunification inevitable and puts Japan in a precarious position from an economic and geopolitical standpoint. Either of these would dramatically weaken
5/22 American dominance over the "The Island of the World". All of the American wars and strategies focused on Eurasia since the end of the Soviet Union followed this roadmap. Before his death in 2017, Zbigniew Brezinski published an article titled Towards a Global Realignment
6/22 which countered his assessment from 1997 and suggested that with the rise of China, the re-emergence of Russia as a major power, and the growing alliance between them, it was impractical for America to further attempt to dominate the Eurasian landmass. It was now time for
7/22 America to build a multilateral geostrategic relationship with the major players in Eurasia and relinquish its hegemonic desires. Brezinski stated this was the only way for America to maintain a level of economic access to the world's largest continent and its vast
8/22 resources and GDP. An America cutoff from Eurasia would be a weak America. It was in this multilateral realignment where @Ripple and $XRP had the best chance to flourish and be adopted on a large global scale. As an American company and technology, Ripple & the $XRP Ledger
9/22 provided a unique opportunity to truly level the playing field in a multilateral world. Unfortunately, after the 2020 election America doubled down on its attempts to dominate Eurasia (a continuation of the historical foreign policy) and near the end of the year, the @SEC,
10/22 always a steward of American elitist objectives filed a lawsuit against @Ripple. It is clear there are American establishment interests that do not want a multilateral world and do not want a Ripple providing a service to that multilateral world. As such, Eurasia, lead by
11/22 China, Russia, & India are increasing the pace of de-dollarization and the development of an alternative to American-led monetary institutions. The BRICS Bank is working on a crypto-based settlement service with little truly known on scope and timeline to implementation.
12/22 Whether Ukraine remains whole or is partitioned between East & West, this de-dollarization will continue and America's unipolar dominance within the global pedigree will wane. America will remain a major power but there can be no true multilateral framework that does not
13/22 include America beside China and Russia and other Eurasian powers. Based on these conclusions, it is unlikely that the @Ripple products and the $XRP Ledger will be widely adopted in their intended purpose on a large global scale. The developing Eurasian Union will be
14/22 hesitant and reluctant to use an American technology with an unknown wildcard around the escrow, and the unipolar American interests have made it very clear that Ripple and XRP are not a part of their hegemonic plans. This leaves Ripple and XRP in a strategic vacuum.
15/22 The outcome over Ukraine will determine a lot about which direction the major world players will take towards a multilateral framework but it looks like America is pushing on all fronts to maintain the outdated Grand Chessboard strategy which Brezinski knew was no longer
16/22 viable. Russia and China are responding as expected. It is the Great War for Eurasia as I wrote about here. https://www.highermanas.com/post/the-great-war-for-eurasia
17/22 You can also read more of my in-depth musings on the potential of $XRP here with some heavy Bretton Woods intrigue: https://www.highermanas.com/post/the-geopolitics-of-xrp
18/22 And more $XRP from a philosophical standpoint here: https://www.highermanas.com/post/globalization-4-0-with-xrp
19/22 The world is moving fast right now and $XRP will find its place one way or another. The technology is too good. Though there are new blockchains that offer broader possibilities, such as @FlareNetworks and #SongbirdNetwork. But the $XRP Ledger is also evolving. Let's hope
20/22 politics doesn't kill it first. American hegemonic unilateralism is coming to an end. This cannot be stopped. It's all going to depend on how much damage is done along the way. The Eurasian nations had hedged these outcomes by looking at the $XRP and @Ripple tech
21/22 but this does not guarantee mass adoption. The trust between Eastern nations and Western nations is eroding fast. The ruling power base in America is stifling Ripple and XRP. No doubt many things will change in the coming weeks and months but nothing is guaranteed. In my
22/22 48 years and across my career, I have learned that incompetence is epidemic. No matter how high the throne or how lofty the enterprise, incompetence can be found. We should not blindly accept that all is planned. It is not. End
