1) Ontario is reporting 2073 new cases of COVID-19 today.

19 of the cases reported today are from over 4 weeks ago, including 25 from last year. They go back as early as March 2020.

@robfoot pretty much called this result yesterday!

#COVID19ON #onpoli

2) There are currently 342 active cases whose original positive test dates back over four weeks, including 5 who are being reported for the first time today.

There are 73 whose test dates back over 8 weeks.

3) Ontario is also reporting 15 new deaths from COVID-19 today.

2 of the deaths are from individuals under 40

4 of the deaths reported today are from cases that are over 8 weeks old, including 4 from last year. They go back as early as November 2020.

4) 7/15 deaths were reported by Toronto.

Attached is a chart of COVID deaths in Ontario, by date of onset symptoms. COVID has not been less deadly in Ontario since Summer 2020.

5) 60% (1240) of today's cases are found in individuals under 40 years old. The current case fatality rate in this demographic is just 0.02%. This number has held true throughout waves 1-3, and is unchanged by variants.

6) Just 5% (111) of today's cases are found in individuals 70 years or older.

While still significant and concerning, it's important to note that their case fatality rate has improved from 17.5% in waves 1 & 2, to 7% in wave 3.

7) When broken down by age, and using case fatality rates from waves 2+3, 99.37% of the cases announced today would be expected to survive.

8) Regional Top 5 for newly reported cases today:

Toronto (685 - 33%)
Peel (389 - 19%)
York Region (231 - 11%)
Durham Region (144 - 7%)
Hamilton (92 - 4%)

9) Here is how each PHU would fare if @fordnation brought back the colour-coded system.

3 regions would be in Green, 5 in Yellow, 9 in Orange, and the rest would either be in Red or Grey. (The Ford government was never clear on what would necessitate a full lockdown vs Red.)

10) The goal of these tweets is point out anomalies and provide context to the daily case & death numbers reported by the government and the media.

I get my data by comparing day-to-day captures of this database from the Ontario gov't: https://data.ontario.ca/dataset/confirmed-positive-cases-of-covid-19-in-ontario