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Thought I& #39;d dig up some of my old British politics takes - this one holds up pretty well - the pro-Brexit bias in British constituencies is roughly as large as the pro-Republican bias in the the electoral college https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1078067793579466752">https://twitter.com/davidshor...
This giant structural bias against any coalition that decided to build itself around Leave is why the center-left& #39;s decision to dramatically raise the salience of Brexit was so predictably suicidal https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1191081530774433794">https://twitter.com/davidshor...
Corbyn, for all his other faults, picked the only political strategy that had any chance of working - focusing the campaign on economic issues and avoiding Brexit at all costs. It almost worked in 2017! https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205912584567885824">https://twitter.com/davidshor...
It& #39;s a bit like Trump going all in on immigration and racial conflict in that sometimes an effective political strategy is going to go so agains the preferences of educated political elites that the only people who do it will be idiosyncratic/vulnerable https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205920878720094208">https://twitter.com/davidshor...
Eventually the Remainers managed to raise the salience of Brexit and get the second referendum they wanted - given that a super majority of constituencies voted Leave, the results were pretty unsurprising.
But Corbyn deserves blame too! https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205565153720307716">https://twitter.com/davidshor...
But Corbyn deserves blame too! https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205565153720307716">https://twitter.com/davidshor...
