Read on Twitter
Thought I'd dig up some of my old British politics takes - this one holds up pretty well - the pro-Brexit bias in British constituencies is roughly as large as the pro-Republican bias in the the electoral college https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1078067793579466752
This giant structural bias against any coalition that decided to build itself around Leave is why the center-left's decision to dramatically raise the salience of Brexit was so predictably suicidal https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1191081530774433794
Corbyn, for all his other faults, picked the only political strategy that had any chance of working - focusing the campaign on economic issues and avoiding Brexit at all costs. It almost worked in 2017! https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205912584567885824
It's a bit like Trump going all in on immigration and racial conflict in that sometimes an effective political strategy is going to go so agains the preferences of educated political elites that the only people who do it will be idiosyncratic/vulnerable https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205920878720094208
Eventually the Remainers managed to raise the salience of Brexit and get the second referendum they wanted - given that a super majority of constituencies voted Leave, the results were pretty unsurprising.
But Corbyn deserves blame too! https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205565153720307716
But Corbyn deserves blame too! https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1205565153720307716
