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The commonly accepted solution to the Monty Hall Problem is wrong. Computer simulations have shown the incorrect answer as correct due to the problem of "bullsh*t in, bullsh*t out" in simulating.
Wikipedia currently claims the incorrect answer: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
The commonly accepted solution to the Monty Hall Problem is wrong. Computer simulations have shown the incorrect answer as correct due to the problem of "bullsh*t in, bullsh*t out" in simulating.
Wikipedia currently claims the incorrect answer: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
The Monty Hall Problem is an example of language being mistranslated when modeled in the logic of computing. If you provide a computer with bad input and processing instructions you will get bad output.
The actual, real, everybody-has-been-dumb-for-fifty-years-on-this-problem can be boiled down to its basic elements and stated like this:
1. There are two doors. One has a car behind it. The other has a goat behind it.
2. Choose a door.
The odds of getting the car are always 50%.
1. There are two doors. One has a car behind it. The other has a goat behind it.
2. Choose a door.
The odds of getting the car are always 50%.
Every other detail in the Monty Hall Problem is wordplay and mathematical sleight-of-hand distraction. If someone tries to translate those superfluous and extra details into a computer simulation of the problem, it will result in the wrong answer being given back by the computer.
This is because in order to reach an accurate conclusion, logic requires that you first boil the situation down to the most basic elements. A Monty Hall performer can do a bunch of flashy hand waving and extra stage display, but that doesn't change the basic logic and rationale.
The global math community has collectively gotten it completely wrong. The Monty Hall Problem should be a case study for at least the next hundred years of how an entire world of smart people managed to thoroughly fool themselves with bad logic and assumptions.
That's what happens when you fail to cut the fat and can't recognize signal from noise. Bloated logic is not efficient or effective logic. It results in false conclusions at scale.
tl;dr- The answer to the Monty Hall Problem is actually, "No, it does not matter if you switch doors and your odds of winning the car are 50% regardless."
Weak minded lemming fools will to reply to this thread saying I am wrong and linking to a lot of nonsense.
They are wrong.
Weak minded lemming fools will to reply to this thread saying I am wrong and linking to a lot of nonsense.
They are wrong.
