Shall we have a look at what the Senedd would have looked like if our electoral system was truly proportional?

Why the hell not...

[Thread]
First of all the caveats.

Obviously, if you& #39;d had a different electoral system people may have voted differently as it would remove the need for tactical voting.

But let& #39;s work with what we& #39;ve got.
So what was the actual result?

There were only four parties that won seats:

Labour - 30

Conservative - 16

Plaid Cymru - 13

Liberal Democrat - 1

The Senedd looked like this:
What about if we just look at the constituency votes?

If it was based on how people voted in their constituencies then Labour would lose 6 seats with the Tories and Plaid both losing 1 each.

The Lib Dems would gain 2 with the Greens, Abolish and Reform all getting 1 seat.
The Welsh Parliament would look like this:
What if it were based on the regional vote?

If we look at the regional vote percentage even more parties win seats with UKIP and Propel both getting a seat.

In this vote the Greens and Abolish both end up with two seats.
This reflects how people tend to vote for the person they think has a chance to win in the constituencies but are more likely to choose a party they would like represented in the Senedd when they come to vote in the regional list.
In this case, the Senedd would look like this:

Labour 22
Conservative 15
Plaid Cymru 12
Liberal Democrat 3
Green 2
Abolish 2
Reform 1
UKIP 1
Propel 1
Quick bit of housekeeping.

The reason why some of the tabs don& #39;t have a full 60 seats is because the final votes were split along lots of smaller parties and independents so a full amount of seats couldn& #39;t be allocated.
The seats are calculated by apply the percentage of the vote to 60 and then rounding to the nearest whole number.
made* (still tired)
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