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#SP2021 Voting notes: 1/ Under @nicolasturgeon @thesnp has increased constituency seats from 53 to 59 in 2016 and IF keep all current seats then it will be min 62. That’s 85% of constituencies and unprecedented anywhere in the UK (ever?). And on high voter turnout.
2/ It is more seats than any party has ever won (Labour won 53 in 99 & 46 2003).
3/ The Tories in 2019 won 56% Westminster seats (365). For them to replicate this it would have meant winning another 185 seats. Even on England only basis 108 more. The best result in UK in modern history is Labour winning 418 seats in 1997. That’s 64% (And it was low turnout).
4/ The point about Scotland’s PR system is to then represent overall share for parties more fairly. Because no one wanted to copy Westminster FPTP system. As was said in statement on publication of 1997 White Paper - which is what we voted on in 97 referendum -
5/ “56 additional members...allocated to ensure that the overall result more directly reflects the share of votes cast for each party.” (Donald Dewar).
6/ Scotland has 43% MSPs from regional vote (based on original Euro regions) Wales has 33%. So it’s therefore harder in Scotland to get outright majority than Wales as there is less proportionate stem to share out vote.
7/ In Wales if you win 75% constituencies you win majority, in Scotland you need 89%.
In Wales Labour would have needed to win another 20% Senedd seats (8) this week to replicate SNP (possible) result.
In Wales Labour would have needed to win another 20% Senedd seats (8) this week to replicate SNP (possible) result.
8/ For any party ever to get anything over the high mark of 53 seats in a five party system (for one parl 2003 we had 6) is an outstanding result and has only been done in last three elections.
9/ And this has been done with vast majority of print press that’s not just opposed to @thesnp but actively hostile and still today talking about 'failure', whilst Labour result in Wales and Tories in England 'remarkable'
