Version 8 of thread on vaccination+variants

Main change: updated (less optimistic) assumptions about effect of restrictions in QC, ON, AB to fit latest data. Guess at effect of new AB restrictions.

Again, only minor updates to vaccination assumptions https://twitter.com/CdnElectWatch/status/1385665017891098625">https://twitter.com/CdnElectW...
No major vaccine supply news in the past 2 weeks. Slightly more Moderna and less AZ now assumed.

As has been the case since Version 1 of this thread (two months ago), expecting 2/3 of total population with at least 1 dose by early June if uptake is sufficient.
Share of VoCs and combined effect of vaccinations and variants: again, almost no change from last version.
Share of VoCs and combined effect of vaccinations and variants: again, almost no change from last version.
Share of VoCs and combined effect of vaccinations and variants: again, almost no change from last version.
You can follow @CdnElectWatch.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:
There are a lot of misconceptions about the Turkish diaspora in Germany. Since i just finished writing an essay about this topic I thought it's time to give other people
Read more
Las mejores calculadoras online en 2020A thread http://totumat.com/2020/11/26/las-mejores-calculadoras-online-en-2020/ Cuando se estudian asignaturas que requieren de cálculos complicados, nada mejor que contar con una buena calculadora.
Read more
Mitigating #ClimateChange is as much about taking up new techs as about leaving others behindMost studies focus on #coal's global downfall but another #energy tech decline is loomingRead my new
Read more