Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 14,924,694
- Shots per 100 people: 39.3
- Shots reported today: 356,627
- Inventory: 11.9 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 43.5%

Source: https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtracker.html

Canada is now up to 14.9 million shots given -- which is 83.0% of the total 18.0 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,191,208 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.2 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.

Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 356,627 shots given compares to an average of 256,118/day over the past week and 281,891/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 286,308
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Oct 17

Based on the share of people with 1 or more doses (a weaker threshold), at Canada's current pace we reach 50% by May and 75% by July 2021. We reach 75% of *adults only* (age 16+) by June 16.

Gray lines are past projections. This illustrates the extent of recent changes.

Recent modeling suggests health rules may be safely eased once 75% of adults have at least one dose and 20% have two https://www.canada.ca/content/dam/phac-aspc/documents/services/diseases-maladies/coronavirus-disease-covid-19/epidemiological-economic-research-data/update-covid-19-canada-epidemiology-modelling-20210423-en.pdf

This requires ~30M shots. We're on pace for that by July 03.

But deliveries are accelerating. If shots keep up, could be mid-June

Turning to individual provinces, here's total shots given and share of delivered doses used.

- Most shots given: YT at 117 doses per 100 people
- Fewest: NS at 35

- Highest share of delivered doses used: SK with 89%
- Lowest: NU with 66%

A more detailed look at provs/terrs:

- Highest overall: YT at 62% receiving at least one shot
- Most 1st doses only: QC at 37% receiving that shot
- Most Fully Vaccinated: YT at 55%
- Fewest Vaccinated: PE at 31%

How does Canada compare to others? Currently, Canada ranks 6th out of 37 OECD countries in terms of the share of the population that is at least partially vaccinated. In terms of total doses per 100, Canada is 8th.

Source: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations

Canada/US comparison:

- Highest Prov: QC, 38.5% of pop w/ at least one dose
- Lowest Prov: PE, 30.7
- Highest State: NH, 61.2
- Lowest State: MS, 31.6

- Top CDN Terr: YT, 62.3
- Top US Terr: PW, 71.5

Sources: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations and https://covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtracker.html

At Canada's latest 7-day avg daily pace, the share of people w/ 1 or more doses rises by 0.63% per day. The US rises by 0.24% per day.

- Projected out, we reach 75% 61 days before the US.
- We match the US share in 23 days.
- Reaching the current US share takes 14 days.

And by request, here's a comparison to the UK! They rise by 0.18% per day.

- Projected out, we reach 75% 71 days before the UK.
- We match the UK share in 34 days.
- Reaching the current UK share takes 24 days.

But that's 1+ doses, here's a comparison of daily shots given per 100 people. In Canada, this rises by 0.67 per day. The US rises by 0.63 per day.

- Projected out, we reach 100 doses 52 days after the US.
- Reaching the current US rate takes 54 days.

Finally, here's a selection across several metrics/groups of how Canada ranks globally. Pick your preferred measure!